Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:11:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 7.2/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,286
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,185.13
Current Value
$8,478.07
Period P&L
$166.32
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+6.26%
Worst Trade
-8.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.89%
Avg Hold Time
8.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$117,335.60
Estimated Fees
$293.34
Gross P&L
$166.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-127.02
Gross Return
+2.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.55%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $8,185.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET $2.36 3,474 $8,185.13
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $2.39 3,474 $8,303.25 $8,262.03 +$76.90
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $1.46 5,650 $8,262.03
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET $1.55 5,650 $8,769.44 $8,726.86 +$464.83
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $1.25 6,965 $8,726.86
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $1.15 6,965 $8,009.49 $7,967.65 $-759.21
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $1.15 6,928 $7,967.65
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $1.22 6,928 $8,466.49 $8,425.41 +$457.76
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 7:40pm ET $1.62 5,213 $8,425.41
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 7:40am ET $1.61 5,213 $8,397.26 $8,397.26 $-70.21
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.53 5,494 $8,397.26
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 6:00am ET $1.54 5,494 $8,473.63 $8,473.63 +$34.19
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 8:05am ET $1.53 5,551 $8,473.63
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 8:05pm ET $1.53 5,551 $8,478.07 $8,478.07 $-37.94
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,478.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,521.93
Total Return: -15.22%
Back to Wally Whale