Compendium › Wally Whale › DOTUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOTUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+13.32%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,727.50
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$8,351.45
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 8.9/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 7.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,043
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,351.45
Current Value
$9,727.50
Period P&L
$1,112.37
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
5.95

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+5.33%
Worst Trade
+3.58%
Avg Trade Return
+4.69%
Avg Hold Time
6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$54,820.68
Estimated Fees
$137.05
Gross P&L
$1,112.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$975.32
Gross Return
+13.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.68%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $8,351.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:35pm ET $0.9015 9,404 $8,478.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.9481 9,404 $8,916.32 $8,916.32 +$394.76
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.9481 9,404 $8,916.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:30pm ET $0.9986 9,404 $9,391.24 $9,391.24 +$429.15
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $1.10 8,556 $9,391.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:00am ET $1.14 8,556 $9,727.50 $9,727.50 +$288.46
(+3.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,727.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-272.50
Total Return: -2.73%
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