Compendium › Wally Whale › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 2 trades in period

+10.53%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,467.69
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$6,599.97
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:37:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 7.2/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,048
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,599.97
Current Value
$7,467.69
Period P&L
$695.25
Max Drawdown
-49.6%
Sharpe Ratio
10.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+6.11%
Worst Trade
+5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+5.56%
Avg Hold Time
9.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$28,245.41
Estimated Fees
$70.61
Gross P&L
$695.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$624.64
Gross Return
+10.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.46%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $6,599.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:00pm ET $52.44 128 $6,701.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 12:50am ET $55.07 128 $7,037.94 $7,037.94 +$301.76
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:20am ET $60.43 116 $7,037.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:35pm ET $64.12 116 $7,467.69 $7,467.69 +$393.49
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,467.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,532.31
Total Return: -25.32%
Back to Wally Whale