Compendium › Wally Whale › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 12 trades in period

-16.51%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,312.09
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$20,404.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 27.4/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 21.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,312
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,404.98
Current Value
$17,312.09
Period P&L
$-3,368.02
Max Drawdown
-60.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-4.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.92%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$474,136.87
Estimated Fees
$1,185.34
Gross P&L
$-3,368.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,553.36
Gross Return
-16.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.31%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $20,404.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET $0.00000415 4,916,862,651 $20,404.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $0.00000420 4,916,862,651 $20,650.82 $20,548.18 +$143.20
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $0.00000403 5,098,803,970 $20,548.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 12:25am ET $0.00000424 5,098,803,970 $21,618.93 $21,513.51 +$965.33
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $0.00000365 5,894,112,329 $21,513.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.00000351 5,894,112,329 $20,688.33 $20,582.83 $-930.68
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.00000351 5,864,054,131 $20,582.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $0.00000337 5,864,054,131 $19,761.86 $19,661.00 $-921.83
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000320 6,144,062,500 $19,661.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.00000309 6,144,062,500 $18,985.15 $18,888.54 $-772.46
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.00000309 6,112,796,117 $18,888.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET $0.00000325 6,112,796,117 $19,866.59 $19,769.70 +$881.16
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET $0.00000325 6,082,984,615 $19,769.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000342 6,082,984,615 $20,803.81 $20,702.37 +$932.67
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $0.00000384 5,391,242,188 $20,702.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET $0.00000374 5,391,242,188 $20,163.25 $20,061.08 $-641.29
(-2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET $0.00000374 5,363,925,134 $20,061.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET $0.00000362 5,363,925,134 $19,417.41 $19,318.71 $-742.37
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $0.00000418 4,621,700,957 $19,318.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:10pm ET $0.00000404 4,621,700,957 $18,671.67 $18,671.67 $-742.01
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:00pm ET $0.00000412 4,531,959,191 $18,671.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 5:30am ET $0.00000398 4,531,959,191 $18,037.20 $18,037.20 $-726.25
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 5:30am ET $0.00000398 4,531,959,191 $18,037.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:35am ET $0.00000382 4,531,959,191 $17,312.08 $17,312.09 $-813.49
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,312.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,312.09
Total Return: +73.12%
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