DOGEUSD Wally Whale's Analysis
2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:05:00+00 • 49 trades executed
-7.39%
2 Years Return
$11,851.96
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$12,664.92
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
23.3/100
× Confidence 0.66
= 15.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,402
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,664.92
Current Value
$11,851.96
Total P&L
$-935.57
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
36
Winners / Losers
15 /
21
Best Trade
+6.71%
Worst Trade
-7.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
4.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,001,384.16
Estimated Fees
$2,503.46
Gross P&L
$-935.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,439.03
Gross Return
-7.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.15%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $12,664.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 9:40pm ET | $0.1152 | 109,939 | $12,664.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2024 10:35pm ET | $0.1212 | 109,939 | $13,323.45 | $13,258.48 |
+$593.56 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
54m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 4, 2024 10:55pm ET | $0.0948 | 139,902 | $13,258.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 7:10am ET | $0.0996 | 139,902 | $13,939.80 | $13,871.81 |
+$613.33 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2024 9:10pm ET | $0.0929 | 149,288 | $13,871.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 1:15am ET | $0.0894 | 149,288 | $13,349.05 | $13,281.00 |
$-590.81 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET | $0.0826 | 160,745 | $13,281.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 3:20am ET | $0.0875 | 160,745 | $14,066.22 | $13,997.86 |
+$716.86 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $0.0864 | 161,956 | $13,997.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 10:00am ET | $0.0916 | 161,956 | $14,831.93 | $14,759.86 |
+$762.00 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2024 7:40am ET | $0.4020 | 36,712 | $14,759.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2024 1:40pm ET | $0.4231 | 36,712 | $15,534.03 | $15,458.29 |
+$698.43 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET | $0.3932 | 39,315 | $15,458.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 4:15pm ET | $0.4196 | 39,315 | $16,495.03 | $16,415.14 |
+$956.85 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 10:55am ET | $0.3729 | 44,026 | $16,415.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 3:45pm ET | $0.3919 | 44,026 | $17,255.60 | $17,171.42 |
+$756.28 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 12:50pm ET | $0.3199 | 53,683 | $17,171.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 2:35pm ET | $0.3082 | 53,683 | $16,545.63 | $16,461.33 |
$-710.09 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 3:45am ET | $0.3050 | 53,970 | $16,461.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 4:05am ET | $0.2938 | 53,970 | $15,853.63 | $15,772.84 |
$-688.49 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 8:30am ET | $0.2996 | 52,650 | $15,772.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 11:35am ET | $0.3152 | 52,650 | $16,596.28 | $16,515.36 |
+$742.52 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 4:50pm ET | $0.2671 | 61,844 | $16,515.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 5:40pm ET | $0.2584 | 61,844 | $15,979.18 | $15,897.94 |
$-617.42 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 5:40pm ET | $0.2584 | 61,529 | $15,897.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 7:40pm ET | $0.2456 | 61,529 | $15,110.98 | $15,033.46 |
$-864.48 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $0.2377 | 63,251 | $15,033.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET | $0.2277 | 63,251 | $14,399.05 | $14,325.47 |
$-707.99 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 11:35pm ET | $0.2255 | 63,539 | $14,325.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 12:55am ET | $0.2375 | 63,539 | $15,092.38 | $15,018.84 |
+$693.37 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 7:10pm ET | $0.2045 | 73,431 | $15,018.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 5:15am ET | $0.1980 | 73,431 | $14,538.60 | $14,464.71 |
$-554.13 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 2:55pm ET | $0.1987 | 72,811 | $14,464.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $0.1920 | 72,811 | $13,976.15 | $13,905.04 |
$-559.67 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $0.1920 | 72,441 | $13,905.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 8:35am ET | $0.1896 | 72,441 | $13,734.08 | $13,664.98 |
$-240.06 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 2:55pm ET | $0.1519 | 89,984 | $13,664.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 8:40pm ET | $0.1472 | 89,984 | $13,242.95 | $13,175.68 |
$-489.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 8:50pm ET | $0.1463 | 90,059 | $13,175.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 10:05pm ET | $0.1540 | 90,059 | $13,870.04 | $13,802.42 |
+$626.74 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 2:15am ET | $0.1384 | 99,765 | $13,802.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 2:40am ET | $0.1336 | 99,765 | $13,329.64 | $13,261.81 |
$-540.61 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 2:45am ET | $0.1336 | 99,235 | $13,261.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 6:15am ET | $0.1411 | 99,235 | $14,006.08 | $13,937.91 |
+$676.10 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2025 11:15pm ET | $0.2240 | 62,228 | $13,937.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 11:15am ET | $0.2215 | 62,228 | $13,785.45 | $13,716.14 |
$-221.77 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 3:05am ET | $0.2234 | 61,411 | $13,716.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 3:05pm ET | $0.2177 | 61,411 | $13,368.55 | $13,300.84 |
$-415.30 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $0.2021 | 65,807 | $13,300.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $0.1944 | 65,807 | $12,794.13 | $12,728.89 |
$-571.95 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $0.1944 | 65,471 | $12,728.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET | $0.1866 | 65,471 | $12,214.29 | $12,151.93 |
$-576.96 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2025 1:45am ET | $0.1925 | 63,114 | $12,151.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2025 1:45pm ET | $0.1930 | 63,114 | $12,179.08 | $12,118.25 |
$-33.68 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2025 3:20pm ET | $0.1868 | 64,876 | $12,118.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2025 5:00pm ET | $0.1803 | 64,876 | $11,697.80 | $11,638.26 |
$-479.99 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2025 5:05pm ET | $0.1787 | 65,127 | $11,638.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 12, 2025 12:20am ET | $0.1878 | 65,127 | $12,228.13 | $12,168.47 |
+$530.21 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 7:15am ET | $0.1354 | 89,878 | $12,168.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 12:00pm ET | $0.1423 | 89,878 | $12,790.97 | $12,728.58 |
+$560.11 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET | $0.1008 | 126,254 | $12,728.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 1:40am ET | $0.1052 | 126,254 | $13,281.91 | $13,216.89 |
+$488.31 (+4.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $0.0886 | 149,209 | $13,216.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.0824 | 149,209 | $12,288.81 | $12,225.05 |
$-991.84 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.0824 | 148,434 | $12,225.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $0.0872 | 148,434 | $12,936.05 | $12,873.15 |
+$648.10 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:15am ET | $0.0934 | 137,769 | $12,873.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $0.0923 | 137,769 | $12,719.40 | $12,655.42 |
$-217.73 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET | $0.1017 | 124,453 | $12,655.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 6:05am ET | $0.0986 | 124,453 | $12,269.70 | $12,269.70 |
$-448.03 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 7:45am ET | $0.0994 | 123,427 | $12,269.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $0.0960 | 123,427 | $11,851.96 | $11,851.96 |
$-478.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,851.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,851.96
Total Return:
+18.52%