LINKUSD Wally Whale's Analysis
2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-25 02:40:00+00 • 64 trades executed
-26.98%
2 Years Return
$9,984.43
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$12,146.62
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
6.1/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 5.5
30-Day Momentum
14
+2.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.3
Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,547
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
732 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,146.62
Current Value
$9,984.43
Total P&L
$-3,277.50
Max Drawdown
-30.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
51
Winners / Losers
21 /
30
Best Trade
+7.88%
Worst Trade
-5.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
6.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,057,910.08
Estimated Fees
$2,644.78
Gross P&L
$-3,277.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,922.28
Gross Return
-26.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-48.76%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 732 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $12,146.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET | $19.86 | 612 | $12,146.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET | $21.42 | 612 | $13,103.89 | $13,040.76 |
+$894.14 (+7.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:15pm ET | $22.32 | 584 | $13,040.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 5:05pm ET | $21.58 | 584 | $12,608.35 | $12,544.22 |
$-496.54 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 6:25pm ET | $22.43 | 559 | $12,544.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 9:25pm ET | $21.75 | 559 | $12,166.16 | $12,104.38 |
$-439.84 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:30pm ET | $21.19 | 571 | $12,104.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 11:55pm ET | $22.36 | 571 | $12,772.78 | $12,710.59 |
+$606.21 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 9:05pm ET | $23.91 | 532 | $12,710.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 5:30am ET | $25.39 | 532 | $13,500.08 | $13,434.56 |
+$723.97 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 12:40pm ET | $23.31 | 576 | $13,434.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 1:15pm ET | $22.57 | 576 | $13,010.30 | $12,944.19 |
$-490.37 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 3:40am ET | $21.51 | 602 | $12,944.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 5:10am ET | $20.53 | 602 | $12,350.29 | $12,287.06 |
$-657.13 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 2:25am ET | $22.30 | 551 | $12,287.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 8:05am ET | $23.66 | 551 | $13,032.41 | $12,969.12 |
+$682.06 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 5:40pm ET | $19.87 | 653 | $12,969.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 7:40pm ET | $19.21 | 653 | $12,540.84 | $12,477.07 |
$-492.05 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $18.45 | 676 | $12,477.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET | $17.69 | 676 | $11,968.38 | $11,907.27 |
$-569.80 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET | $17.69 | 673 | $11,907.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 9:00pm ET | $17.09 | 673 | $11,503.47 | $11,444.95 |
$-462.32 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 12:25am ET | $17.90 | 639 | $11,444.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 2:20am ET | $18.84 | 639 | $12,040.08 | $11,981.37 |
+$536.42 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 2:25am ET | $14.31 | 837 | $11,981.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 2:25pm ET | $14.74 | 837 | $12,334.62 | $12,273.83 |
+$292.46 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 4:50pm ET | $14.47 | 848 | $12,273.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $13.93 | 848 | $11,819.93 | $11,759.70 |
$-514.13 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $13.93 | 844 | $11,759.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 9:15pm ET | $13.51 | 844 | $11,400.12 | $11,342.22 |
$-417.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 8:10am ET | $13.63 | 832 | $11,342.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 11:35am ET | $13.22 | 832 | $10,994.46 | $10,938.62 |
$-403.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 8:25pm ET | $12.36 | 885 | $10,938.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 9:00pm ET | $11.97 | 885 | $10,592.67 | $10,538.84 |
$-399.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2025 11:40pm ET | $10.82 | 974 | $10,538.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 2:35am ET | $10.49 | 974 | $10,214.43 | $10,162.55 |
$-376.29 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $18.04 | 563 | $10,162.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $17.13 | 563 | $9,653.72 | $9,604.18 |
$-558.37 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $17.13 | 561 | $9,604.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET | $18.22 | 561 | $10,213.55 | $10,164.01 |
+$559.83 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.57 | 579 | $10,164.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2025 4:30pm ET | $16.93 | 579 | $9,795.56 | $9,745.66 |
$-418.35 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $7.72 | 1,263 | $9,745.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $7.41 | 1,263 | $9,351.69 | $9,303.95 |
$-441.71 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $7.41 | 1,256 | $9,303.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $7.90 | 1,256 | $9,919.52 | $9,871.46 |
+$567.51 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:25am ET | $8.83 | 1,118 | $9,871.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET | $8.56 | 1,118 | $9,564.31 | $9,515.73 |
$-355.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET | $8.56 | 1,112 | $9,515.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:15pm ET | $8.89 | 1,112 | $9,882.71 | $9,834.21 |
+$318.48 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:45pm ET | $8.86 | 1,110 | $9,834.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:40am ET | $8.57 | 1,110 | $9,511.49 | $9,463.12 |
$-371.09 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:45am ET | $8.51 | 1,112 | $9,463.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $8.48 | 1,112 | $9,423.02 | $9,375.80 |
$-87.32 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET | $9.32 | 1,006 | $9,375.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 6:25am ET | $9.22 | 1,006 | $9,266.85 | $9,266.85 |
$-155.56 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 6:50am ET | $9.21 | 1,007 | $9,266.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $8.90 | 1,007 | $8,962.61 | $8,962.61 |
$-349.82 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $8.51 | 1,053 | $8,962.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:30pm ET | $8.30 | 1,053 | $8,741.50 | $8,741.50 |
$-265.37 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:45pm ET | $8.18 | 1,068 | $8,741.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 7:00am ET | $8.60 | 1,068 | $9,185.94 | $9,185.94 |
+$399.62 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 7:45am ET | $8.53 | 1,077 | $9,185.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $8.23 | 1,077 | $8,868.36 | $8,868.36 |
$-362.71 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET | $8.03 | 1,104 | $8,868.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $8.08 | 1,104 | $8,921.55 | $8,921.55 |
+$8.71 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $8.08 | 1,104 | $8,921.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:55pm ET | $7.95 | 1,104 | $8,781.76 | $8,781.76 |
$-184.04 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET | $7.38 | 1,190 | $8,781.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $7.35 | 1,190 | $8,739.77 | $8,739.77 |
$-85.79 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $7.20 | 1,215 | $8,739.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 3:20am ET | $7.37 | 1,215 | $8,955.61 | $8,955.61 |
+$171.60 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $7.01 | 1,278 | $8,955.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55pm ET | $7.16 | 1,278 | $9,146.86 | $9,146.86 |
+$146.00 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:10pm ET | $7.04 | 1,300 | $9,146.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $7.22 | 1,300 | $9,390.29 | $9,390.29 |
+$197.09 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $7.92 | 1,186 | $9,390.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:35pm ET | $8.00 | 1,186 | $9,488.10 | $9,488.10 |
+$50.61 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:45pm ET | $7.99 | 1,188 | $9,488.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $8.03 | 1,188 | $9,542.94 | $9,542.94 |
+$7.27 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $11.59 | 824 | $9,542.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 6:00pm ET | $12.23 | 824 | $10,074.01 | $10,074.01 |
+$482.03 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 6:30pm ET | $12.15 | 829 | $10,074.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET | $11.72 | 829 | $9,714.64 | $9,714.64 |
$-408.84 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET | $11.72 | 829 | $9,714.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 6:20am ET | $11.37 | 829 | $9,421.77 | $9,421.77 |
$-340.70 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 6:20am ET | $11.37 | 829 | $9,421.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 6:20pm ET | $11.55 | 829 | $9,573.46 | $9,573.46 |
+$104.20 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $11.65 | 822 | $9,573.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 23, 2026 12:50am ET | $11.30 | 822 | $9,283.14 | $9,283.14 |
$-337.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET | $11.20 | 829 | $9,283.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 7:30am ET | $11.29 | 829 | $9,360.01 | $9,360.01 |
+$30.26 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 8:00am ET | $11.28 | 829 | $9,360.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 8:00pm ET | $11.34 | 829 | $9,403.31 | $9,403.31 |
$-3.61 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET | $12.89 | 729 | $9,403.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $13.03 | 729 | $9,500.42 | $9,500.42 |
+$49.86 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:45pm ET | $12.99 | 731 | $9,500.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:45am ET | $13.03 | 731 | $9,525.18 | $9,525.18 |
$-22.81 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $12.35 | 771 | $9,525.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 11:10pm ET | $12.37 | 771 | $9,537.29 | $9,537.29 |
$-35.55 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 12:35am ET | $12.31 | 774 | $9,537.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $12.89 | 774 | $9,984.42 | $9,984.43 |
+$398.33 (+4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,984.43
Net Profit/Loss:
$-15.57
Total Return:
-0.16%