Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 10:05:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

5
-0.1%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
49,983
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
174 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,745.66
Current Value
$8,955.61
Period P&L
$-1,193.22
Max Drawdown
-30.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+6.62%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$276,654.97
Estimated Fees
$691.64
Gross P&L
$-1,193.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,884.86
Gross Return
-12.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.34%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 174 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $9,745.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $7.72 1,263 $9,745.66
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.41 1,263 $9,351.69 $9,303.95 $-441.71
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.41 1,256 $9,303.95
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $7.90 1,256 $9,919.52 $9,871.46 +$567.51
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:25am ET $8.83 1,118 $9,871.46
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET $8.56 1,118 $9,564.31 $9,515.73 $-355.73
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET $8.56 1,112 $9,515.73
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:15pm ET $8.89 1,112 $9,882.71 $9,834.21 +$318.48
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 5:45pm ET $8.86 1,110 $9,834.21
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:40am ET $8.57 1,110 $9,511.49 $9,463.12 $-371.09
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:45am ET $8.51 1,112 $9,463.12
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $8.48 1,112 $9,423.02 $9,375.80 $-87.32
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $9.32 1,006 $9,375.80
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:25am ET $9.22 1,006 $9,266.85 $9,266.85 $-155.56
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 6:50am ET $9.21 1,007 $9,266.85
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $8.90 1,007 $8,962.61 $8,962.61 $-349.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $8.51 1,053 $8,962.61
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:30pm ET $8.30 1,053 $8,741.50 $8,741.50 $-265.37
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:45pm ET $8.18 1,068 $8,741.50
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 7:00am ET $8.60 1,068 $9,185.94 $9,185.94 +$399.62
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 7:45am ET $8.53 1,077 $9,185.94
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $8.23 1,077 $8,868.36 $8,868.36 $-362.71
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $8.03 1,104 $8,868.36
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $8.08 1,104 $8,921.55 $8,921.55 +$8.71
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $8.08 1,104 $8,921.55
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55pm ET $7.95 1,104 $8,781.76 $8,781.76 $-184.04
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $7.38 1,190 $8,781.76
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $7.35 1,190 $8,739.77 $8,739.77 $-85.79
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $7.20 1,215 $8,739.77
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 3:20am ET $7.37 1,215 $8,955.61 $8,955.61 +$171.60
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,955.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,044.39
Total Return: -10.44%
Back to Wally Whale