Compendium › Wally Whale › LINKUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LINKUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 8 trades in period

-8.98%
Year to Date Return
$8,962.61
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,745.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:59:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 3.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,133
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,745.66
Current Value
$8,962.61
Period P&L
$-875.24
Max Drawdown
-30.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+6.62%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
6.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$152,258.98
Estimated Fees
$380.65
Gross P&L
$-875.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,255.89
Gross Return
-8.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.89%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $9,745.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $7.72 1,263 $9,745.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.41 1,263 $9,351.69 $9,303.95 $-441.71
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.41 1,256 $9,303.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $7.90 1,256 $9,919.52 $9,871.46 +$567.51
(+6.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:25am ET $8.83 1,118 $9,871.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET $8.56 1,118 $9,564.31 $9,515.73 $-355.73
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET $8.56 1,112 $9,515.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:15pm ET $8.89 1,112 $9,882.71 $9,834.21 +$318.48
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 5:45pm ET $8.86 1,110 $9,834.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:40am ET $8.57 1,110 $9,511.49 $9,463.12 $-371.09
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:45am ET $8.51 1,112 $9,463.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $8.48 1,112 $9,423.02 $9,375.80 $-87.32
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $9.32 1,006 $9,375.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:25am ET $9.22 1,006 $9,266.85 $9,266.85 $-155.56
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 6:50am ET $9.21 1,007 $9,266.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $8.90 1,007 $8,962.61 $8,962.61 $-349.82
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,962.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,037.39
Total Return: -10.37%
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