Compendium › Wally Whale › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 6 trades in period

+11.22%
Year to Date Return
$7,467.69
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$6,559.52
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:51:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 7.2/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,559.52
Current Value
$7,467.69
Period P&L
$735.70
Max Drawdown
-49.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.71

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+6.11%
Worst Trade
-1.44%
Avg Trade Return
+2.32%
Avg Hold Time
9.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$82,468.76
Estimated Fees
$206.17
Gross P&L
$735.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$529.53
Gross Return
+11.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.07%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $6,559.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 139 $6,559.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $49.65 139 $6,920.53 $6,886.83 +$327.31
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 7:35pm ET $56.45 122 $6,886.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 7:35am ET $56.05 122 $6,838.03 $6,838.03 $-83.11
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 7:20pm ET $56.79 120 $6,838.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 7:20am ET $55.97 120 $6,739.29 $6,739.29 $-132.68
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 7:35am ET $55.76 121 $6,739.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $55.45 121 $6,701.83 $6,701.83 $-71.07
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:00pm ET $52.44 128 $6,701.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 12:50am ET $55.07 128 $7,037.94 $7,037.94 +$301.76
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:20am ET $60.43 116 $7,037.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:35pm ET $64.12 116 $7,467.69 $7,467.69 +$393.49
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,467.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,532.31
Total Return: -25.32%
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