Compendium › Wally Whale › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 6 trades in period

+0.25%
Year to Date Return
$22,620.41
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$22,236.27
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:38:10

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.0/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 48.1/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 37.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,946
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$22,236.27
Current Value
$22,620.41
Period P&L
$55.23
Max Drawdown
-31.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+7.28%
Worst Trade
-4.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
4.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$259,306.46
Estimated Fees
$648.27
Gross P&L
$55.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-593.04
Gross Return
+0.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.67%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $22,236.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.00000566 3,928,669,611 $22,236.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $0.00000549 3,928,669,611 $21,568.40 $21,458.88 $-777.39
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $0.00000549 3,908,721,311 $21,458.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000522 3,908,721,311 $20,403.53 $20,298.87 $-1,160.01
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000522 3,888,672,414 $20,298.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000560 3,888,672,414 $21,776.57 $21,671.38 +$1,372.51
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 8:25pm ET $0.00000624 3,472,977,564 $21,671.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 8:25am ET $0.00000612 3,472,977,564 $21,254.62 $21,254.62 $-524.07
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:15pm ET $0.00000547 3,885,670,932 $21,254.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:10pm ET $0.00000576 3,885,670,932 $22,381.46 $22,381.46 +$1,017.75
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $0.00000562 3,982,466,192 $22,381.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50pm ET $0.00000568 3,982,466,192 $22,620.41 $22,620.41 +$126.44
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,620.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,620.41
Total Return: +126.20%
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