Compendium › Wally Whale › SOLUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOLUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+1.10%
Year to Date Return
$12,180.82
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,048.58
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:11:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 29.1/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 15.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,168
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,048.58
Current Value
$12,180.82
Period P&L
$132.24
Max Drawdown
-15.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-6.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
2.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$96,847.50
Estimated Fees
$242.12
Gross P&L
$132.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-109.88
Gross Return
+1.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.91%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $12,048.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $100.18 120 $12,048.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET $106.31 120 $12,785.83 $12,723.74 +$675.16
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $79.57 160 $12,723.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $76.32 160 $12,204.20 $12,141.88 $-581.86
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $72.29 168 $12,141.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $67.76 168 $11,381.18 $11,322.37 $-819.51
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $67.76 167 $11,322.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $73.25 167 $12,239.72 $12,180.82 +$858.45
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,180.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,180.82
Total Return: +21.81%
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