UNIUSD Wally Whale's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
+35.83%
Year to Date Return
$15,885.19
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$9,955.65
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality
32.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 31.8
30-Day Momentum
45
+14.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.9
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,941
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,955.65
Current Value
$15,885.19
Period P&L
$3,567.07
Max Drawdown
-42.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
24 /
19
Best Trade
+8.77%
Worst Trade
-4.29%
Avg Trade Return
+1.23%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,045,427.99
Estimated Fees
$2,613.57
Gross P&L
$3,567.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$953.50
Gross Return
+35.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.58%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $9,955.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $3.21 | 3,104 | $9,955.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $3.10 | 3,104 | $9,620.38 | $9,571.44 |
$-384.21 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $2.95 | 3,248 | $9,571.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $3.14 | 3,248 | $10,201.52 | $10,152.09 |
+$580.65 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET | $3.20 | 3,176 | $10,152.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10pm ET | $3.10 | 3,176 | $9,837.62 | $9,787.64 |
$-364.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:15pm ET | $3.10 | 3,161 | $9,787.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $3.25 | 3,161 | $10,280.82 | $10,230.64 |
+$443.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:15am ET | $3.18 | 3,214 | $10,230.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:00am ET | $3.36 | 3,214 | $10,799.54 | $10,746.97 |
+$516.33 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET | $4.05 | 2,651 | $10,746.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 6:25am ET | $4.00 | 2,651 | $10,614.42 | $10,614.42 |
$-185.95 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 7:10am ET | $4.02 | 2,642 | $10,614.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $3.90 | 2,642 | $10,294.69 | $10,294.69 |
$-372.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $2.77 | 3,714 | $10,294.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:30pm ET | $2.79 | 3,714 | $10,368.97 | $10,368.97 |
+$22.62 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:30pm ET | $2.79 | 3,714 | $10,368.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:30am ET | $2.90 | 3,714 | $10,781.20 | $10,781.20 |
+$359.36 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:00pm ET | $2.57 | 4,190 | $10,781.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:00pm ET | $2.72 | 4,190 | $11,384.58 | $11,384.58 |
+$547.96 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 2:35am ET | $2.73 | 4,170 | $11,384.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 5:20am ET | $2.63 | 4,170 | $10,975.90 | $10,975.90 |
$-464.58 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 5:20am ET | $2.63 | 4,170 | $10,975.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 5:20pm ET | $2.65 | 4,170 | $11,035.53 | $11,035.53 |
+$4.60 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 5:55pm ET | $2.61 | 4,221 | $11,035.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:50am ET | $2.53 | 4,221 | $10,683.50 | $10,683.50 |
$-406.33 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET | $2.42 | 4,411 | $10,683.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:45am ET | $2.55 | 4,411 | $11,247.18 | $11,247.18 |
+$508.86 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 5:10am ET | $2.56 | 4,385 | $11,247.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 8:30am ET | $2.49 | 4,385 | $10,898.98 | $10,898.98 |
$-403.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 8:30am ET | $2.49 | 4,385 | $10,898.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $2.40 | 4,385 | $10,542.89 | $10,542.89 |
$-409.70 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $2.40 | 4,398 | $10,542.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 12:05am ET | $2.39 | 4,398 | $10,498.03 | $10,498.03 |
$-97.46 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2026 12:05am ET | $2.39 | 4,398 | $10,498.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $2.45 | 4,398 | $10,766.31 | $10,766.31 |
+$215.12 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $2.74 | 3,924 | $10,766.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 5:40pm ET | $2.88 | 3,924 | $11,311.75 | $11,311.75 |
+$490.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 6:00pm ET | $2.89 | 3,908 | $11,311.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:10pm ET | $2.79 | 3,908 | $10,889.29 | $10,889.29 |
$-477.96 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:10pm ET | $2.79 | 3,908 | $10,889.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:10am ET | $2.94 | 3,908 | $11,472.37 | $11,472.37 |
+$527.17 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 5:05am ET | $2.90 | 3,957 | $11,472.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:15am ET | $2.81 | 3,957 | $11,109.07 | $11,109.07 |
$-419.75 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.84 | 3,918 | $11,109.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $2.98 | 3,918 | $11,682.33 | $11,682.33 |
+$516.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $3.57 | 3,275 | $11,682.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:20pm ET | $3.48 | 3,275 | $11,384.27 | $11,384.27 |
$-355.73 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2026 1:05am ET | $3.49 | 3,262 | $11,384.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2026 8:25am ET | $3.67 | 3,262 | $11,965.60 | $11,965.60 |
+$522.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2026 9:25am ET | $3.66 | 3,269 | $11,965.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2026 9:25pm ET | $3.68 | 3,269 | $12,019.21 | $12,019.21 |
$-6.36 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 4:15pm ET | $4.02 | 2,993 | $12,019.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 8:35pm ET | $4.22 | 2,993 | $12,635.69 | $12,635.69 |
+$554.84 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 8:40pm ET | $4.23 | 2,986 | $12,635.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET | $4.05 | 2,986 | $12,107.08 | $12,107.09 |
$-590.46 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET | $4.05 | 2,986 | $12,107.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 8:40am ET | $4.26 | 2,986 | $12,730.66 | $12,730.66 |
+$561.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 8:45am ET | $4.26 | 2,988 | $12,730.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 8:45pm ET | $4.34 | 2,988 | $12,979.89 | $12,979.89 |
+$184.96 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 9:00pm ET | $4.29 | 3,022 | $12,979.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2026 11:25pm ET | $4.15 | 3,022 | $12,532.60 | $12,532.60 |
$-511.07 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2026 11:30pm ET | $4.13 | 3,036 | $12,532.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 23, 2026 7:30am ET | $4.34 | 3,036 | $13,174.09 | $13,174.09 |
+$577.22 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 30, 2026 8:05pm ET | $5.10 | 2,584 | $13,174.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 8:05am ET | $5.13 | 2,584 | $13,243.59 | $13,243.59 |
+$3.46 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 8:55am ET | $5.08 | 2,606 | $13,243.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 8:15pm ET | $5.38 | 2,606 | $14,014.64 | $14,014.64 |
+$702.90 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:25am ET | $8.88 | 1,578 | $14,014.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 8:45am ET | $9.44 | 1,578 | $14,894.92 | $14,894.92 |
+$808.01 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 8:45am ET | $9.44 | 1,578 | $14,894.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:25am ET | $9.10 | 1,578 | $14,361.14 | $14,361.14 |
$-606.93 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $9.06 | 1,585 | $14,361.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 6:15pm ET | $9.85 | 1,585 | $15,620.88 | $15,620.88 |
+$1,184.79 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 6:15pm ET | $9.85 | 1,585 | $15,620.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $10.45 | 1,585 | $16,574.16 | $16,574.16 |
+$872.80 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:10pm ET | $10.65 | 1,556 | $16,574.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 4:05am ET | $10.29 | 1,556 | $16,021.17 | $16,021.17 |
$-634.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $9.41 | 1,702 | $16,021.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $9.10 | 1,702 | $15,481.99 | $15,481.99 |
$-617.94 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $9.10 | 1,702 | $15,481.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 11:50pm ET | $9.27 | 1,702 | $15,778.81 | $15,778.81 |
+$218.67 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 1:45am ET | $9.30 | 1,697 | $15,778.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 5:10am ET | $8.90 | 1,697 | $15,101.85 | $15,101.85 |
$-754.16 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 5:10am ET | $8.90 | 1,697 | $15,101.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.36 | 1,697 | $15,885.19 | $15,885.19 |
+$705.87 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,885.19
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,885.19
Total Return:
+58.85%