Compendium › Wally Whale › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 27 trades in period

+9.13%
Year to Date Return
$15,675.36
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$12,766.08
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 35.3/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 31.3

30-Day Momentum

18
+2.4%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.5 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,941
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,766.08
Current Value
$15,675.36
Period P&L
$1,165.12
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
15 / 12
Best Trade
+5.97%
Worst Trade
-4.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.82%
Avg Hold Time
9.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$722,592.67
Estimated Fees
$1,806.48
Gross P&L
$1,165.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-641.36
Gross Return
+9.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.02%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $12,766.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $1.30 9,835 $12,766.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.24 9,835 $12,160.53 $12,098.21 $-667.87
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $1.44 8,409 $12,098.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:25am ET $1.44 8,409 $12,101.74 $12,101.74 $-56.97
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 6:55am ET $1.44 8,422 $12,101.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $1.39 8,422 $11,706.58 $11,706.57 $-454.69
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 10:20pm ET $1.41 8,297 $11,706.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 10:20am ET $1.40 8,297 $11,606.59 $11,606.59 $-158.27
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $1.22 9,511 $11,606.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:30pm ET $1.21 9,511 $11,470.30 $11,470.30 $-193.98
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:45pm ET $1.19 9,634 $11,470.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET $1.22 9,634 $11,790.34 $11,790.34 +$261.89
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $1.16 10,166 $11,790.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $1.18 10,166 $11,972.21 $11,972.21 +$122.47
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $1.18 10,140 $11,972.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:25pm ET $1.14 10,140 $11,584.38 $11,584.38 $-446.73
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $1.10 10,552 $11,584.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.10 10,552 $11,598.41 $11,598.41 $-43.92
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $1.07 10,829 $11,598.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 3:15am ET $1.09 10,829 $11,836.21 $11,836.21 +$179.21
(+2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1.01 11,687 $11,836.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55pm ET $1.03 11,687 $12,035.93 $12,035.93 +$140.04
(+1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:10pm ET $1.02 11,848 $12,035.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:10am ET $1.04 11,848 $12,327.04 $12,327.04 +$230.20
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:25am ET $1.10 11,184 $12,327.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:25pm ET $1.11 11,184 $12,367.86 $12,367.86 $-20.92
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:55pm ET $1.11 11,169 $12,367.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2026 11:55am ET $1.11 11,169 $12,424.82 $12,424.82 $-5.02
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $1.38 9,019 $12,424.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:40pm ET $1.45 9,019 $13,068.50 $13,068.50 +$579.95
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 7:40pm ET $1.47 8,920 $13,068.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:50pm ET $1.54 8,920 $13,767.42 $13,767.42 +$631.83
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $1.52 9,047 $13,767.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 3:25am ET $1.61 9,047 $14,588.72 $14,588.72 +$750.41
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 6:10am ET $1.46 9,984 $14,588.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:10pm ET $1.47 9,984 $14,688.16 $14,688.16 +$26.25
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 8:00pm ET $1.47 9,997 $14,688.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 8:00am ET $1.49 9,997 $14,924.09 $14,924.09 +$161.90
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $1.36 10,942 $14,924.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 7:30am ET $1.38 10,942 $15,065.79 $15,065.79 +$66.73
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 8:40am ET $1.36 11,056 $15,065.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 8:40pm ET $1.38 11,056 $15,305.27 $15,305.27 +$163.55
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $1.51 10,124 $15,305.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $1.59 10,124 $16,078.96 $16,078.96 +$695.23
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:20am ET $1.56 10,315 $16,078.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:20pm ET $1.59 10,315 $16,376.46 $16,376.46 +$216.36
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:15pm ET $1.60 10,245 $16,376.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $1.54 10,245 $15,725.42 $15,725.42 $-731.29
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $1.53 10,279 $15,725.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 4:25pm ET $1.48 10,279 $15,249.07 $15,249.07 $-553.79
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 4:25pm ET $1.48 10,279 $15,249.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 4:25am ET $1.49 10,279 $15,285.97 $15,285.97 $-39.43
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 4:25am ET $1.49 10,279 $15,285.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 4:25pm ET $1.52 10,279 $15,675.36 $15,675.36 +$311.98
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,675.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,675.36
Total Return: +56.75%
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