Compendium › Wally Whale › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-10.48%
Year to Date Return
$11,606.59
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$12,766.08
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:07:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 24.9/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,188
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,766.08
Current Value
$11,606.59
Period P&L
$-1,337.80
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
+0.03%
Worst Trade
-4.74%
Avg Trade Return
-2.21%
Avg Hold Time
7.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$96,248.03
Estimated Fees
$240.62
Gross P&L
$-1,337.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,578.42
Gross Return
-10.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.36%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $12,766.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $1.30 9,835 $12,766.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.24 9,835 $12,160.53 $12,098.21 $-667.87
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $1.44 8,409 $12,098.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:25am ET $1.44 8,409 $12,101.74 $12,101.74 $-56.97
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 6:55am ET $1.44 8,422 $12,101.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $1.39 8,422 $11,706.58 $11,706.57 $-454.69
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 10:20pm ET $1.41 8,297 $11,706.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 10:20am ET $1.40 8,297 $11,606.59 $11,606.59 $-158.27
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,606.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,606.59
Total Return: +16.07%
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