DOTUSD Wally Whale's Analysis
2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 12:55:00+00 • 48 trades executed
-17.95%
2 Years Return
$8,478.07
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$10,178.59
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
7.2/100
× Confidence 0.68
= 4.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,375
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,178.59
Current Value
$8,478.07
Total P&L
$-1,827.14
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
38
Winners / Losers
17 /
21
Best Trade
+8.54%
Worst Trade
-10.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$725,942.27
Estimated Fees
$1,814.86
Gross P&L
$-1,827.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,642.00
Gross Return
-17.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-35.78%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $10,178.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 4, 2024 10:55pm ET | $5.05 | 2,014 | $10,178.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 2:45am ET | $5.31 | 2,014 | $10,702.33 | $10,650.12 |
+$471.53 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2024 9:05pm ET | $4.19 | 2,540 | $10,650.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2024 10:00pm ET | $4.06 | 2,540 | $10,304.68 | $10,252.30 |
$-397.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 12:25am ET | $3.95 | 2,598 | $10,252.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET | $3.68 | 2,598 | $9,553.40 | $9,503.88 |
$-748.42 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET | $3.68 | 2,585 | $9,503.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 3:15am ET | $3.91 | 2,585 | $10,108.70 | $10,059.66 |
+$555.78 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
54m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $3.96 | 2,540 | $10,059.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 10:15am ET | $4.18 | 2,540 | $10,623.61 | $10,571.90 |
+$512.24 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2024 11:45pm ET | $4.94 | 2,138 | $10,571.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 8:35am ET | $5.23 | 2,138 | $11,174.91 | $11,120.54 |
+$548.64 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2024 5:45am ET | $8.66 | 1,284 | $11,120.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2024 7:30am ET | $8.38 | 1,284 | $10,766.04 | $10,711.32 |
$-409.22 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2024 7:35am ET | $8.30 | 1,290 | $10,711.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2024 8:55am ET | $8.78 | 1,290 | $11,329.26 | $11,274.15 |
+$562.83 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2024 3:25pm ET | $8.70 | 1,296 | $11,274.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2024 8:20pm ET | $8.44 | 1,296 | $10,933.26 | $10,877.74 |
$-396.41 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2024 6:30am ET | $7.56 | 1,440 | $10,877.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 7:10am ET | $7.94 | 1,440 | $11,434.87 | $11,379.09 |
+$501.35 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 3:45pm ET | $8.58 | 1,326 | $11,379.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET | $7.68 | 1,326 | $10,179.27 | $10,125.37 |
$-1,253.72 (-10.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET | $7.68 | 1,319 | $10,125.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET | $8.33 | 1,319 | $10,990.47 | $10,937.68 |
+$812.31 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET | $8.33 | 1,312 | $10,937.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 4:35pm ET | $8.76 | 1,312 | $11,490.21 | $11,434.14 |
+$496.46 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 7:35am ET | $8.36 | 1,368 | $11,434.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 10:35am ET | $8.08 | 1,368 | $11,051.18 | $10,994.97 |
$-439.17 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 10:40am ET | $8.05 | 1,366 | $10,994.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 11:05am ET | $7.80 | 1,366 | $10,655.36 | $10,601.24 |
$-393.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 12:50pm ET | $7.07 | 1,499 | $10,601.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 2:50pm ET | $6.86 | 1,499 | $10,280.68 | $10,228.48 |
$-372.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 3:40am ET | $6.60 | 1,551 | $10,228.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 5:05am ET | $6.35 | 1,551 | $9,850.11 | $9,799.91 |
$-428.57 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 2:25am ET | $5.50 | 1,783 | $9,799.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 8:00am ET | $5.78 | 1,783 | $10,300.12 | $10,249.87 |
+$449.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 5:40pm ET | $5.03 | 2,040 | $10,249.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 7:40pm ET | $4.76 | 2,040 | $9,709.33 | $9,659.43 |
$-590.44 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 7:40pm ET | $4.76 | 2,029 | $9,659.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $4.55 | 2,029 | $9,239.37 | $9,192.12 |
$-467.31 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $4.55 | 2,019 | $9,192.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET | $4.29 | 2,019 | $8,659.13 | $8,614.50 |
$-577.62 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 3:00am ET | $4.62 | 1,865 | $8,614.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $4.87 | 1,865 | $9,084.59 | $9,040.34 |
+$425.84 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 4:55pm ET | $4.44 | 2,034 | $9,040.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $4.31 | 2,034 | $8,761.64 | $8,717.14 |
$-323.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $4.31 | 2,024 | $8,717.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 9:15pm ET | $4.16 | 2,024 | $8,417.60 | $8,374.76 |
$-342.38 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 11:55pm ET | $4.25 | 1,970 | $8,374.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 11:25am ET | $4.07 | 1,970 | $8,022.12 | $7,981.13 |
$-393.63 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 2:35am ET | $3.34 | 2,392 | $7,981.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $3.52 | 2,392 | $8,416.67 | $8,375.68 |
+$394.55 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $3.44 | 2,435 | $8,375.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $3.25 | 2,435 | $7,920.37 | $7,879.63 |
$-496.05 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $3.25 | 2,422 | $7,879.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET | $3.48 | 2,422 | $8,424.64 | $8,383.88 |
+$504.25 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 8:20pm ET | $2.93 | 2,862 | $8,383.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:25pm ET | $3.11 | 2,862 | $8,890.23 | $8,847.05 |
+$463.17 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2025 7:05am ET | $3.25 | 2,726 | $8,847.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2025 8:45am ET | $3.14 | 2,726 | $8,566.23 | $8,522.70 |
$-324.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2025 3:10pm ET | $3.08 | 2,764 | $8,522.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 11, 2025 4:25pm ET | $2.98 | 2,764 | $8,227.00 | $8,185.13 |
$-337.57 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $2.36 | 3,474 | $8,185.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET | $2.39 | 3,474 | $8,303.25 | $8,262.03 |
+$76.90 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.46 | 5,650 | $8,262.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET | $1.55 | 5,650 | $8,769.44 | $8,726.86 |
+$464.83 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1.25 | 6,965 | $8,726.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $1.15 | 6,965 | $8,009.49 | $7,967.65 |
$-759.21 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $1.15 | 6,928 | $7,967.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $1.22 | 6,928 | $8,466.49 | $8,425.41 |
+$457.76 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 7:40pm ET | $1.62 | 5,213 | $8,425.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 7:40am ET | $1.61 | 5,213 | $8,397.26 | $8,397.26 |
$-70.21 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.53 | 5,494 | $8,397.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 6:00am ET | $1.54 | 5,494 | $8,473.63 | $8,473.63 |
+$34.19 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 8:05am ET | $1.53 | 5,551 | $8,473.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 8:05pm ET | $1.53 | 5,551 | $8,478.07 | $8,478.07 |
$-37.94 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,478.07
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,521.93
Total Return:
-15.22%