Compendium › Wally Whale › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-25 04:05:00+00 • 50 trades executed

+14.34%
2 Years Return
$22,620.41
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$19,496.22
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.0/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 48.1/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 37.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,249
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$19,496.22
Current Value
$22,620.41
Total P&L
$2,795.28
Max Drawdown
-31.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
14 / 13
Best Trade
+9.35%
Worst Trade
-5.93%
Avg Trade Return
+1.13%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,069,457.96
Estimated Fees
$2,673.64
Gross P&L
$2,795.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$121.64
Gross Return
+14.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.62%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $19,496.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 11:35pm ET $0.00002386 817,108,969 $19,496.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 8:25am ET $0.00002532 817,108,969 $20,689.20 $20,588.74 +$1,092.52
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $0.00002501 823,220,312 $20,588.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $0.00002636 823,220,312 $21,700.09 $21,594.37 +$1,005.63
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $0.00002636 819,209,788 $21,594.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:20pm ET $0.00002803 819,209,788 $22,962.45 $22,851.06 +$1,256.69
(+6.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 7:00pm ET $0.00002676 853,926,009 $22,851.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 10:05pm ET $0.00002573 853,926,009 $21,971.52 $21,859.46 $-991.60
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 11:00am ET $0.00002523 866,407,451 $21,859.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 12:55pm ET $0.00002438 866,407,451 $21,123.01 $21,015.56 $-843.90
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 3:55am ET $0.00002057 1,021,660,671 $21,015.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 5:10am ET $0.00001940 1,021,660,671 $19,820.22 $19,718.13 $-1,297.43
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 5:10am ET $0.00001940 1,016,398,454 $19,718.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 6:35am ET $0.00001881 1,016,398,454 $19,118.45 $19,021.36 $-696.77
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 7:35am ET $0.00001994 953,929,789 $19,021.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 10:35am ET $0.00002099 953,929,789 $20,022.99 $19,925.38 +$904.02
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 5:40pm ET $0.00001511 1,318,688,286 $19,925.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 7:40pm ET $0.00001438 1,318,688,286 $18,962.74 $18,865.52 $-1,059.86
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 7:45pm ET $0.00001466 1,286,870,396 $18,865.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET $0.00001379 1,286,870,396 $17,745.94 $17,654.41 $-1,211.11
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET $0.00001379 1,280,232,777 $17,654.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $0.00001308 1,280,232,777 $16,745.44 $16,659.45 $-994.96
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $0.00001308 1,273,658,257 $16,659.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 9:05pm ET $0.00001234 1,273,658,257 $15,716.94 $15,636.00 $-1,023.45
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 5:15am ET $0.00001447 1,080,580,511 $15,636.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 10:20am ET $0.00001536 1,080,580,511 $16,597.72 $16,517.13 +$881.13
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 8:40pm ET $0.00001245 1,326,677,108 $16,517.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 8:40am ET $0.00001260 1,326,677,108 $16,716.13 $16,633.05 +$115.92
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 8, 2025 6:35am ET $0.00001278 1,301,490,610 $16,633.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2025 6:35pm ET $0.00001264 1,301,490,610 $16,450.84 $16,368.13 $-264.92
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 8:50pm ET $0.00001102 1,485,311,252 $16,368.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 11:10pm ET $0.00001161 1,485,311,252 $17,244.46 $17,160.43 +$792.30
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 2:50am ET $0.00001036 1,656,412,162 $17,160.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 5:45am ET $0.00001092 1,656,412,162 $18,088.02 $17,999.90 +$839.47
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $0.00000714 2,520,994,398 $17,999.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $0.00000780 2,520,994,398 $19,663.76 $19,569.60 +$1,569.70
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12m held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 6:15pm ET $0.00000930 2,104,258,065 $19,569.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 6:30pm ET $0.00001017 2,104,258,065 $21,400.30 $21,297.88 +$1,728.28
(+9.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:15pm ET $0.00000973 2,188,887,975 $21,297.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:15pm ET $0.00001022 2,188,887,975 $22,370.44 $22,261.26 +$963.38
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2h held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 2:45am ET $0.00001029 2,163,387,755 $22,261.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 2:45pm ET $0.00001033 2,163,387,755 $22,347.80 $22,236.27 $-24.99
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.00000566 3,928,669,611 $22,236.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $0.00000549 3,928,669,611 $21,568.40 $21,458.88 $-777.39
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $0.00000549 3,908,721,311 $21,458.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000522 3,908,721,311 $20,403.53 $20,298.87 $-1,160.01
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000522 3,888,672,414 $20,298.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000560 3,888,672,414 $21,776.57 $21,671.38 +$1,372.51
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 8:25pm ET $0.00000624 3,472,977,564 $21,671.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 8:25am ET $0.00000612 3,472,977,564 $21,254.62 $21,254.62 $-524.07
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:15pm ET $0.00000547 3,885,670,932 $21,254.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:10pm ET $0.00000576 3,885,670,932 $22,381.46 $22,381.46 +$1,017.75
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
55m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $0.00000562 3,982,466,192 $22,381.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50pm ET $0.00000568 3,982,466,192 $22,620.41 $22,620.41 +$126.44
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,620.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,620.41
Total Return: +126.20%
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