Compendium › Wally Whale › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:00:00+00 • 33 trades executed

+6.61%
2 Years Return
$11,606.59
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,719.77
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 24.9/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,401
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,719.77
Current Value
$11,606.59
Total P&L
$708.51
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
30
Winners / Losers
16 / 14
Best Trade
+9.11%
Worst Trade
-25.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.96%
Avg Hold Time
2.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$764,199.83
Estimated Fees
$1,910.50
Gross P&L
$708.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,201.99
Gross Return
+6.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.21%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $10,719.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET $0.4411 24,302 $10,719.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 3:20am ET $0.4653 24,302 $11,307.89 $11,252.82 +$533.05
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 5:30am ET $0.4667 24,111 $11,252.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 6:30am ET $0.4526 24,111 $10,913.57 $10,858.16 $-394.66
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2024 5:00am ET $0.5085 21,354 $10,858.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2024 5:00pm ET $0.5220 21,354 $11,146.87 $11,091.86 +$233.70
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 16, 2024 9:05pm ET $1.05 10,523 $11,091.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 16, 2024 11:25pm ET $1.02 10,523 $10,719.36 $10,664.83 $-427.03
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2024 6:05am ET $1.04 10,233 $10,664.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2024 8:20am ET $1.10 10,233 $11,277.79 $11,222.93 +$558.10
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2024 7:35am ET $1.35 8,339 $11,222.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2024 7:40am ET $1.30 8,339 $10,835.02 $10,779.87 $-443.06
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2024 7:40am ET $1.30 8,296 $10,779.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2024 8:15am ET $1.37 8,296 $11,401.42 $11,345.97 +$566.10
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
36m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2024 6:25am ET $1.29 8,764 $11,345.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2024 8:35am ET $1.37 8,764 $11,968.31 $11,910.03 +$564.06
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 8:50am ET $2.40 4,970 $11,910.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 9:05am ET $2.58 4,970 $12,824.05 $12,762.22 +$852.19
(+7.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 8:10pm ET $2.25 5,663 $12,762.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 9:40pm ET $2.38 5,663 $13,495.62 $13,429.97 +$667.75
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $2.05 6,537 $13,429.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $2.18 6,537 $14,256.23 $14,187.01 +$757.04
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:05pm ET $2.18 6,505 $14,187.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 4:20pm ET $2.30 6,505 $14,930.54 $14,857.75 +$670.74
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 7:00pm ET $2.18 6,808 $14,857.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 10:05pm ET $2.10 6,808 $14,317.85 $14,244.91 $-612.84
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 5:10am ET $2.06 6,930 $14,244.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 6:35am ET $1.98 6,930 $13,703.67 $13,633.79 $-611.12
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 12:50pm ET $2.54 5,376 $13,633.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 2:35pm ET $2.67 5,376 $14,369.97 $14,299.96 +$666.17
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 9:05pm ET $1.98 7,226 $14,299.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 9:10pm ET $2.10 7,226 $15,174.82 $15,101.14 +$801.18
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 3:00am ET $2.39 6,310 $15,101.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 3:35am ET $2.32 6,310 $14,644.86 $14,570.49 $-530.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
36m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 5:35am ET $2.40 6,060 $14,570.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 8:25am ET $2.32 6,060 $14,084.41 $14,012.77 $-557.72
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:00am ET $2.28 6,155 $14,012.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 10:05am ET $2.39 6,155 $14,717.65 $14,645.83 +$633.06
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:55am ET $2.56 5,726 $14,645.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 1:35pm ET $2.46 5,726 $14,087.36 $14,015.53 $-630.30
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 8:40pm ET $2.26 6,188 $14,015.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 4:40am ET $2.38 6,188 $14,720.98 $14,649.14 +$633.61
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2025 11:40pm ET $1.80 8,133 $14,649.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 2:15am ET $1.73 8,133 $14,069.26 $13,997.46 $-651.68
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $2.30 6,099 $13,997.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $1.71 6,099 $10,440.46 $10,379.36 $-3,618.10
(-25.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $1.71 6,063 $10,379.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $1.87 6,063 $11,324.65 $11,270.39 +$891.03
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $1.87 6,034 $11,270.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $2.03 6,034 $12,272.70 $12,213.84 +$943.45
(+8.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12m held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 7:05pm ET $2.32 5,260 $12,213.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:35pm ET $2.44 5,260 $12,828.69 $12,766.08 +$552.24
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $1.30 9,835 $12,766.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.24 9,835 $12,160.53 $12,098.21 $-667.87
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $1.44 8,409 $12,098.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:25am ET $1.44 8,409 $12,101.74 $12,101.74 $-56.97
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 6:55am ET $1.44 8,422 $12,101.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $1.39 8,422 $11,706.58 $11,706.57 $-454.69
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 10:20pm ET $1.41 8,297 $11,706.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 10:20am ET $1.40 8,297 $11,606.59 $11,606.59 $-158.27
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,606.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,606.59
Total Return: +16.07%
Back to Wally Whale