Compendium › WB Pro Credit › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

WB Pro Credit's Analysis

to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 37 trades executed

-3.74%
2 Years Return
$14,736.79
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$15,309.22
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:41:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jul 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.2/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
8.6/10
Raw Quality 65.8/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 36.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,209
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$15,309.22
Current Value
$14,736.79
Total P&L
$-572.43
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+10.42%
Worst Trade
-9.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$398,858.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-572.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-572.43
Gross Return
-3.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro Credit had $15,309.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2025 9:35am ET $812.16 19 $15,309.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $822.10 19 $15,496.59 $15,496.59 +$187.37
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 9:50am ET $820.05 19 $15,496.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $805.06 19 $15,213.41 $15,213.41 $-283.18
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 10:10am ET $806.02 19 $15,213.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $726.60 19 $13,714.38 $13,714.38 $-1,499.03
(-9.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $706.09 19 $13,714.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $753.78 19 $14,640.66 $14,640.66 +$926.28
(+6.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:35am ET $748.89 20 $14,640.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $826.96 20 $16,166.91 $16,166.91 +$1,526.25
(+10.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 11:20am ET $825.30 20 $16,166.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $877.20 20 $17,183.59 $17,183.59 +$1,016.68
(+6.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $833.68 21 $17,183.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $775.17 21 $15,977.69 $15,977.69 $-1,205.90
(-7.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 2:25pm ET $775.20 21 $15,977.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $756.11 21 $15,584.22 $15,584.22 $-393.47
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 10:00am ET $740.37 21 $15,584.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $725.12 21 $15,263.22 $15,263.22 $-321.00
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 11:10am ET $717.84 21 $15,263.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $747.29 21 $15,889.41 $15,889.41 +$626.19
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $974.24 16 $15,889.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $905.74 16 $14,772.29 $14,772.29 $-1,117.12
(-7.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $915.65 16 $14,772.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $899.01 16 $14,503.83 $14,503.83 $-268.46
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:00am ET $910.22 16 $14,503.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $924.84 16 $14,736.79 $14,736.79 +$232.96
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,736.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,736.79
Total Return: +47.37%
Back to WB Pro Credit