LLY WB Pro YC's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 35 trades in period
+17.04%
Last Year Return
$12,434.31
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,624.31
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.0/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
40.3/100
× Confidence 0.79
= 31.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,495
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,624.31
Current Value
$12,434.31
Period P&L
$1,810.00
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
19 /
16
Best Trade
+10.48%
Worst Trade
-5.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$941,867.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,810.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,810.00
Gross Return
+17.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.04%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $10,624.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $731.32 | 15 | $10,624.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $762.38 | 15 | $11,075.54 | $11,075.54 |
+$451.23 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $817.06 | 14 | $11,075.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $843.92 | 14 | $11,439.64 | $11,439.64 |
+$364.10 (+3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $852.11 | 13 | $11,439.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $826.79 | 13 | $11,099.72 | $11,099.72 |
$-339.92 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $794.00 | 14 | $11,099.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $812.39 | 14 | $11,356.80 | $11,356.80 |
+$257.08 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $819.42 | 14 | $11,356.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $844.22 | 14 | $11,700.54 | $11,700.54 |
+$343.74 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $838.00 | 14 | $11,700.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $925.84 | 14 | $12,927.00 | $12,927.00 |
+$1,226.46 (+10.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $919.10 | 14 | $12,927.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $988.73 | 14 | $13,906.34 | $13,906.34 |
+$979.34 (+7.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $1,005.15 | 14 | $13,906.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,022.67 | 14 | $14,148.73 | $14,148.73 |
+$242.39 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $1,042.43 | 14 | $14,148.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,109.59 | 14 | $15,060.21 | $15,060.21 |
+$911.48 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,090.65 | 14 | $15,060.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,033.27 | 14 | $14,267.95 | $14,267.95 |
$-792.26 (-5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $1,020.80 | 14 | $14,267.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $981.86 | 14 | $13,723.68 | $13,723.68 |
$-544.27 (-3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $978.21 | 14 | $13,723.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,061.88 | 14 | $14,897.59 | $14,897.59 |
+$1,173.91 (+8.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $1,044.06 | 14 | $14,897.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,070.50 | 14 | $15,274.86 | $15,274.86 |
+$377.27 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET | $1,067.42 | 14 | $15,274.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,077.51 | 14 | $15,419.32 | $15,419.32 |
+$144.46 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,072.70 | 14 | $15,419.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,041.44 | 14 | $14,969.98 | $14,969.98 |
$-449.34 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,054.02 | 14 | $14,969.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,063.56 | 14 | $15,105.49 | $15,105.49 |
+$135.51 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,066.85 | 14 | $15,105.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,041.87 | 14 | $14,751.87 | $14,751.87 |
$-353.62 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,082.40 | 14 | $14,751.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,038.54 | 14 | $14,154.11 | $14,154.11 |
$-597.76 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,019.00 | 14 | $14,154.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,043.09 | 14 | $14,488.72 | $14,488.72 |
+$334.61 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,034.37 | 14 | $14,488.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,057.89 | 14 | $14,818.17 | $14,818.17 |
+$329.45 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,064.47 | 14 | $14,818.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,038.95 | 14 | $14,462.91 | $14,462.91 |
$-355.26 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,038.95 | 14 | $14,462.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,040.22 | 14 | $14,480.59 | $14,480.59 |
+$17.68 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,053.00 | 14 | $14,480.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,010.25 | 14 | $13,892.70 | $13,892.70 |
$-587.89 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,028.82 | 14 | $13,892.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,048.12 | 14 | $14,153.25 | $14,153.25 |
+$260.55 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,037.38 | 14 | $14,153.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $981.36 | 14 | $13,388.95 | $13,388.95 |
$-764.30 (-5.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $984.61 | 14 | $13,388.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $929.24 | 14 | $12,636.08 | $12,636.08 |
$-752.87 (-5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $913.33 | 14 | $12,636.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $912.18 | 14 | $12,620.24 | $12,620.24 |
$-15.84 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $902.70 | 14 | $12,620.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $877.55 | 14 | $12,268.70 | $12,268.70 |
$-351.54 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $886.85 | 14 | $12,268.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $936.04 | 14 | $12,949.20 | $12,949.20 |
+$680.50 (+5.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $926.68 | 14 | $12,949.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $955.28 | 14 | $13,348.78 | $13,348.78 |
+$399.58 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $939.69 | 14 | $13,348.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $907.93 | 14 | $12,897.61 | $12,897.61 |
$-451.17 (-3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $906.58 | 14 | $12,897.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $903.96 | 14 | $12,860.34 | $12,860.34 |
$-37.27 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $900.42 | 14 | $12,860.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $852.46 | 14 | $12,175.35 | $12,175.35 |
$-684.99 (-5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,024.27 | 12 | $12,175.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,067.00 | 12 | $12,683.34 | $12,683.34 |
+$507.99 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,272.76 | 10 | $12,683.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,247.77 | 10 | $12,434.31 | $12,434.31 |
$-249.03 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,434.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,434.31
Total Return:
+24.34%