Compendium › WB Pro YC › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

WB Pro YC's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 8 trades in period

-1.47%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,434.31
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$12,620.24
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:20:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.0/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 40.3/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 31.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,620.24
Current Value
$12,434.31
Period P&L
$-185.93
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+5.55%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$203,421.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-185.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-185.93
Gross Return
-1.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $12,620.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $902.70 14 $12,620.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $877.55 14 $12,268.70 $12,268.70 $-351.54
(-2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $886.85 14 $12,268.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $936.04 14 $12,949.20 $12,949.20 +$680.50
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $926.68 14 $12,949.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $955.28 14 $13,348.78 $13,348.78 +$399.58
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $939.69 14 $13,348.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $907.93 14 $12,897.61 $12,897.61 $-451.17
(-3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $906.58 14 $12,897.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $903.96 14 $12,860.34 $12,860.34 $-37.27
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $900.42 14 $12,860.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $852.46 14 $12,175.35 $12,175.35 $-684.99
(-5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:30am ET $1,024.27 12 $12,175.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,067.00 12 $12,683.34 $12,683.34 +$507.99
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:45am ET $1,272.76 10 $12,683.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,247.77 10 $12,434.31 $12,434.31 $-249.03
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,434.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,434.31
Total Return: +24.34%
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