Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality 70.7/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 59.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,369.41
Current Value
$15,253.66
Period P&L
$1,884.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-1.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.88%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$378,637.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,884.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,884.25
Gross Return
+14.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $13,369.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $165.85 82 $13,634.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $166.06 82 $13,651.38 $13,651.38 +$17.26
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $157.72 87 $13,651.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.50 87 $14,238.22 $14,238.22 +$586.84
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:30am ET $165.35 86 $14,238.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.88 86 $14,284.29 $14,284.29 +$46.07
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET $176.63 81 $14,284.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $178.43 81 $14,429.86 $14,429.86 +$145.57
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $176.74 82 $14,429.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.55 82 $14,740.93 $14,740.93 +$311.07
(+2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $189.75 78 $14,740.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.23 78 $14,700.53 $14,700.53 $-40.40
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $189.80 77 $14,700.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.11 77 $14,647.09 $14,647.09 $-53.44
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $188.83 78 $14,647.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $188.18 78 $14,597.05 $14,597.05 $-50.04
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $189.18 77 $14,597.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.14 77 $14,440.03 $14,440.03 $-157.02
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $187.71 77 $14,440.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.38 77 $14,568.88 $14,568.88 +$128.85
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $189.99 77 $14,568.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $197.74 77 $15,162.77 $15,162.77 +$593.89
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:55am ET $197.93 77 $15,162.77 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $201.20 77 $15,413.66 $15,413.66 +$250.89
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $216.75 71 $15,413.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $214.50 71 $15,253.66 $15,253.66 $-160.00
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,253.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,253.66
Total Return: +52.54%
Back to WB Pro YC