Compendium › WB Pro YC › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

WB Pro YC's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 8 trades in period

+21.16%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,477.04
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$12,773.94
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
11.9/15
Profit Factor
11.7/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality 81.1/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 61.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,773.94
Current Value
$15,477.04
Period P&L
$2,703.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-1.89%
Avg Trade Return
+2.49%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,039.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,703.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,703.11
Gross Return
+21.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). WB Pro YC had $12,773.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $136.82 93 $12,734.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.79 93 $12,731.12 $12,731.12 $-3.26
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $129.30 98 $12,731.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $134.84 98 $13,276.81 $13,276.81 +$545.69
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $132.40 100 $13,276.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $137.29 100 $13,766.67 $13,766.67 +$489.86
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $155.39 89 $13,766.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.52 89 $14,221.60 $14,221.60 +$454.93
(+3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $157.02 91 $14,221.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $159.45 91 $14,441.69 $14,441.69 +$220.09
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $161.34 90 $14,441.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $169.83 90 $15,201.64 $15,201.64 +$759.95
(+5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $171.89 88 $15,201.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $178.37 88 $15,774.72 $15,774.72 +$573.08
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $186.53 85 $15,774.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.01 85 $15,477.04 $15,477.04 $-297.68
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,477.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,477.04
Total Return: +54.77%
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