XRPUSD Wendy Weekend's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 51 trades in period
+39.62%
Last Year Return
$16,642.09
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$11,306.78
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
36.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 35.6
30-Day Momentum
23
+3.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.3
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,247
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,306.78
Current Value
$16,642.09
Period P&L
$4,479.95
Max Drawdown
-40.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
29 /
22
Best Trade
+10.65%
Worst Trade
-8.15%
Avg Trade Return
+1.23%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,423,310.12
Estimated Fees
$3,558.28
Gross P&L
$4,479.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$921.67
Gross Return
+39.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.15%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wendy Weekend had $11,306.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.37 | 4,768 | $11,306.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.54 | 4,768 | $12,114.00 | $12,055.45 |
+$748.67 (+7.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.37 | 5,085 | $12,055.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.38 | 5,085 | $12,096.13 | $12,035.75 |
$-19.70 (+0.3%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 25, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.31 | 5,211 | $12,035.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.31 | 5,211 | $12,055.03 | $11,994.80 |
$-40.95 (+0.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.18 | 5,508 | $11,994.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.19 | 5,508 | $12,075.21 | $12,015.03 |
+$20.23 (+0.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.27 | 5,289 | $12,015.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.33 | 5,289 | $12,300.64 | $12,239.85 |
+$224.82 (+2.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.16 | 5,656 | $12,239.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.30 | 5,656 | $13,028.24 | $12,965.07 |
+$725.22 (+6.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2025 6:00pm ET | $1.96 | 6,612 | $12,965.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.10 | 6,612 | $13,903.94 | $13,836.77 |
+$871.70 (+7.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.19 | 6,314 | $13,836.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.28 | 6,314 | $14,384.81 | $14,314.26 |
+$477.49 (+4.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.28 | 6,265 | $14,314.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.27 | 6,265 | $14,242.84 | $14,171.45 |
$-142.81 (-0.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.80 | 5,063 | $14,171.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.93 | 5,063 | $14,851.39 | $14,778.83 |
+$607.38 (+4.8%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.49 | 4,233 | $14,778.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.56 | 4,233 | $15,079.40 | $15,004.76 |
+$225.93 (+2.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.23 | 4,647 | $15,004.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.15 | 4,647 | $14,629.77 | $14,555.68 |
$-449.08 (-2.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.93 | 4,969 | $14,555.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.08 | 4,969 | $15,285.58 | $15,210.97 |
+$655.29 (+5.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.18 | 4,787 | $15,210.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.13 | 4,787 | $14,984.17 | $14,908.68 |
$-302.29 (-1.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.10 | 4,806 | $14,908.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.09 | 4,806 | $14,843.84 | $14,769.46 |
$-139.22 (-0.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.02 | 4,895 | $14,769.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.85 | 4,895 | $13,967.62 | $13,895.78 |
$-873.68 (-5.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.81 | 4,952 | $13,895.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.72 | 4,952 | $13,480.32 | $13,411.88 |
$-483.90 (-3.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 7, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.86 | 4,691 | $13,411.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.97 | 4,691 | $13,947.28 | $13,878.88 |
+$467.00 (+4.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.05 | 4,554 | $13,878.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.00 | 4,554 | $13,650.74 | $13,581.91 |
$-296.97 (-1.6%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.98 | 4,562 | $13,581.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.85 | 4,562 | $13,020.84 | $12,954.34 |
$-627.57 (-4.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 28, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.85 | 4,549 | $12,954.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.89 | 4,549 | $13,167.70 | $13,102.39 |
+$148.05 (+1.6%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 5, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.98 | 4,397 | $13,102.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.01 | 4,397 | $13,239.79 | $13,173.93 |
+$71.54 (+1.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 12, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.55 | 5,176 | $13,173.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.62 | 5,176 | $13,577.66 | $13,510.78 |
+$336.85 (+3.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 19, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.40 | 5,628 | $13,510.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.49 | 5,628 | $13,994.82 | $13,926.05 |
+$415.27 (+3.6%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 26, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.65 | 5,265 | $13,926.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.65 | 5,265 | $13,926.05 | $13,856.42 |
$-69.63 (+0.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 2, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.51 | 5,528 | $13,856.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.30 | 5,528 | $12,726.62 | $12,660.17 |
$-1,196.25 (-8.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.33 | 5,425 | $12,660.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.53 | 5,425 | $13,718.29 | $13,652.35 |
+$992.18 (+8.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 16, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.18 | 6,259 | $13,652.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.14 | 6,259 | $13,419.53 | $13,351.85 |
$-300.50 (-1.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 23, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.07 | 6,441 | $13,351.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.25 | 6,441 | $14,506.75 | $14,437.10 |
+$1,085.25 (+8.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.19 | 6,594 | $14,437.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.03 | 6,594 | $13,367.80 | $13,298.28 |
$-1,138.82 (-7.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.04 | 6,531 | $13,298.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.09 | 6,531 | $13,620.27 | $13,552.97 |
+$254.69 (+2.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 14, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.99 | 6,803 | $13,552.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.89 | 6,803 | $12,850.90 | $12,784.89 |
$-768.08 (-5.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 21, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.91 | 6,706 | $12,784.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.89 | 6,706 | $12,696.77 | $12,633.07 |
$-151.82 (-0.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 28, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.86 | 6,788 | $12,633.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.85 | 6,788 | $12,549.57 | $12,486.62 |
$-146.45 (-0.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 4, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.10 | 5,955 | $12,486.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.32 | 5,955 | $13,816.39 | $13,750.63 |
+$1,264.01 (+10.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 11, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.06 | 6,668 | $13,750.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.05 | 6,668 | $13,681.95 | $13,613.37 |
$-137.26 (-0.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.06 | 6,612 | $13,613.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 19, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.00 | 6,612 | $13,192.19 | $13,125.17 |
$-488.20 (-3.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.84 | 7,148 | $13,125.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.90 | 7,148 | $13,562.65 | $13,495.93 |
+$370.76 (+3.3%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.59 | 8,465 | $13,495.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.62 | 8,465 | $13,753.25 | $13,685.13 |
+$189.20 (+1.9%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.43 | 9,578 | $13,685.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.45 | 9,578 | $13,874.54 | $13,805.64 |
+$120.51 (+1.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.39 | 9,925 | $13,805.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.36 | 9,925 | $13,497.36 | $13,497.36 |
$-376.54 (-2.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.35 | 9,963 | $13,497.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.40 | 9,963 | $13,940.63 | $13,940.63 |
+$374.67 (+3.3%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 8, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.34 | 10,381 | $13,940.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.38 | 10,381 | $14,275.63 | $14,275.63 |
+$264.46 (+2.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 15, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.43 | 10,002 | $14,275.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.53 | 10,002 | $15,290.27 | $15,290.27 |
+$940.73 (+7.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 22, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.38 | 11,115 | $15,290.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.44 | 11,115 | $15,950.06 | $15,950.06 |
+$581.69 (+4.3%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.32 | 12,053 | $15,950.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.33 | 12,053 | $16,030.94 | $16,030.94 |
+$0.92 (+0.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 5, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.30 | 12,341 | $16,030.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.33 | 12,341 | $16,469.79 | $16,469.79 |
+$357.60 (+2.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 12, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.33 | 12,396 | $16,469.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.35 | 12,396 | $16,750.18 | $16,750.18 |
+$197.34 (+1.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 19, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.40 | 11,923 | $16,750.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.43 | 11,923 | $17,062.32 | $17,062.32 |
+$227.60 (+1.9%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 26, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.43 | 11,930 | $17,062.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.39 | 11,930 | $16,579.63 | $16,579.63 |
$-566.79 (-2.8%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 3, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.39 | 11,898 | $16,579.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.40 | 11,898 | $16,642.09 | $16,642.09 |
$-20.59 (+0.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,642.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,642.09
Total Return:
+66.42%