XRPUSD Wendy Weekend's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 51 trades in period
+29.19%
Last Year Return
$19,320.09
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$12,954.34
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.0/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
39.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 39.0
30-Day Momentum
49
+14.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.8
Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,209
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,954.34
Current Value
$19,320.09
Period P&L
$3,781.26
Max Drawdown
-40.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
29 /
22
Best Trade
+10.65%
Worst Trade
-8.15%
Avg Trade Return
+1.06%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,570,086.52
Estimated Fees
$3,925.22
Gross P&L
$3,781.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-143.96
Gross Return
+29.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.11%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wendy Weekend had $12,954.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 28, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.85 | 4,549 | $12,954.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.89 | 4,549 | $13,167.70 | $13,102.39 |
+$148.05 (+1.6%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 5, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.98 | 4,397 | $13,102.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 6:00pm ET | $3.01 | 4,397 | $13,239.79 | $13,173.93 |
+$71.54 (+1.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 12, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.55 | 5,176 | $13,173.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.62 | 5,176 | $13,577.66 | $13,510.78 |
+$336.85 (+3.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 19, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.40 | 5,628 | $13,510.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.49 | 5,628 | $13,994.82 | $13,926.05 |
+$415.27 (+3.6%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 26, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.65 | 5,265 | $13,926.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 6:00pm ET | $2.65 | 5,265 | $13,926.05 | $13,856.42 |
$-69.63 (+0.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 2, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.51 | 5,528 | $13,856.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.30 | 5,528 | $12,726.62 | $12,660.17 |
$-1,196.25 (-8.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.33 | 5,425 | $12,660.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.53 | 5,425 | $13,718.29 | $13,652.35 |
+$992.18 (+8.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 16, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.18 | 6,259 | $13,652.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.14 | 6,259 | $13,419.53 | $13,351.85 |
$-300.50 (-1.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 23, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.07 | 6,441 | $13,351.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.25 | 6,441 | $14,506.75 | $14,437.10 |
+$1,085.25 (+8.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.19 | 6,594 | $14,437.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.03 | 6,594 | $13,367.80 | $13,298.28 |
$-1,138.82 (-7.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.04 | 6,531 | $13,298.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 5:00pm ET | $2.09 | 6,531 | $13,620.27 | $13,552.97 |
+$254.69 (+2.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 14, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.99 | 6,803 | $13,552.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.89 | 6,803 | $12,850.90 | $12,784.89 |
$-768.08 (-5.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 21, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.91 | 6,706 | $12,784.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.89 | 6,706 | $12,696.77 | $12,633.07 |
$-151.82 (-0.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 28, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.86 | 6,788 | $12,633.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 5:00pm ET | $1.85 | 6,788 | $12,549.57 | $12,486.62 |
$-146.45 (-0.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 4, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.10 | 5,955 | $12,486.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.32 | 5,955 | $13,816.39 | $13,750.63 |
+$1,264.01 (+10.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 11, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.06 | 6,668 | $13,750.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.05 | 6,668 | $13,681.95 | $13,613.37 |
$-137.26 (-0.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.06 | 6,612 | $13,613.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 19, 2026 5:00pm ET | $2.00 | 6,612 | $13,192.19 | $13,125.17 |
$-488.20 (-3.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.84 | 7,148 | $13,125.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.90 | 7,148 | $13,562.65 | $13,495.93 |
+$370.76 (+3.3%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.59 | 8,465 | $13,495.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.62 | 8,465 | $13,753.25 | $13,685.13 |
+$189.20 (+1.9%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.43 | 9,578 | $13,685.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.45 | 9,578 | $13,874.54 | $13,805.64 |
+$120.51 (+1.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.39 | 9,925 | $13,805.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.36 | 9,925 | $13,497.36 | $13,497.36 |
$-376.54 (-2.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.35 | 9,963 | $13,497.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 5:00pm ET | $1.40 | 9,963 | $13,940.63 | $13,940.63 |
+$374.67 (+3.3%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 8, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.34 | 10,381 | $13,940.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.38 | 10,381 | $14,275.63 | $14,275.63 |
+$264.46 (+2.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 15, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.43 | 10,002 | $14,275.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.53 | 10,002 | $15,290.27 | $15,290.27 |
+$940.73 (+7.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 22, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.38 | 11,115 | $15,290.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.44 | 11,115 | $15,950.06 | $15,950.06 |
+$581.69 (+4.3%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.32 | 12,053 | $15,950.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.33 | 12,053 | $16,030.94 | $16,030.94 |
+$0.92 (+0.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 5, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.30 | 12,341 | $16,030.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.33 | 12,341 | $16,469.79 | $16,469.79 |
+$357.60 (+2.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 12, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.33 | 12,396 | $16,469.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.35 | 12,396 | $16,750.18 | $16,750.18 |
+$197.34 (+1.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 19, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.40 | 11,923 | $16,750.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.43 | 11,923 | $17,062.32 | $17,062.32 |
+$227.60 (+1.9%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 26, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.43 | 11,930 | $17,062.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.39 | 11,930 | $16,579.63 | $16,579.63 |
$-566.79 (-2.8%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 3, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.39 | 11,898 | $16,579.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.40 | 11,898 | $16,642.09 | $16,642.09 |
$-20.59 (+0.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.46 | 11,417 | $16,642.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.47 | 11,417 | $16,765.28 | $16,765.28 |
+$39.67 (+0.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 17, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.42 | 11,808 | $16,765.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.39 | 11,808 | $16,443.27 | $16,443.27 |
$-405.03 (-1.9%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 24, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.34 | 12,286 | $16,443.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 25, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.35 | 12,286 | $16,623.14 | $16,623.14 |
+$97.20 (+1.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 31, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.33 | 12,455 | $16,623.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.29 | 12,455 | $16,041.26 | $16,041.26 |
$-663.54 (-3.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.13 | 14,194 | $16,041.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.18 | 14,194 | $16,715.46 | $16,715.46 |
+$592.31 (+4.2%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 14, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.17 | 14,326 | $16,715.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.25 | 14,326 | $17,890.51 | $17,890.51 |
+$1,088.54 (+7.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 21, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.13 | 15,813 | $17,890.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.13 | 15,813 | $17,870.59 | $17,870.59 |
$-109.33 (-0.1%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 28, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.05 | 17,048 | $17,870.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.06 | 17,048 | $18,133.47 | $18,133.47 |
+$172.87 (+1.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 5, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.14 | 15,881 | $18,133.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.15 | 15,881 | $18,310.06 | $18,310.06 |
+$85.49 (+1.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 12, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.09 | 16,815 | $18,310.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.06 | 16,815 | $17,841.94 | $17,841.94 |
$-558.50 (-2.6%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 19, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.09 | 16,311 | $17,841.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.11 | 16,311 | $18,109.45 | $18,109.45 |
+$177.63 (+1.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 26, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.11 | 16,332 | $18,109.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.08 | 16,332 | $17,680.55 | $17,680.55 |
$-518.37 (-2.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.09 | 16,280 | $17,680.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.08 | 16,280 | $17,566.92 | $17,566.92 |
$-201.75 (-0.6%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 9, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.04 | 16,871 | $17,566.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.02 | 16,871 | $17,139.59 | $17,139.59 |
$-514.10 (-2.4%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 16, 2026 6:00pm ET | $0.9931 | 17,259 | $17,139.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.00 | 17,259 | $17,278.70 | $17,278.70 |
+$53.06 (+0.8%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 23, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.52 | 11,375 | $17,278.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.48 | 11,375 | $16,855.32 | $16,855.32 |
$-508.71 (-2.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 30, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.40 | 12,082 | $16,855.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.38 | 12,082 | $16,715.90 | $16,715.90 |
$-223.35 (-0.8%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 6, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.42 | 11,742 | $16,715.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 7, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.40 | 11,742 | $16,380.77 | $16,380.77 |
$-417.87 (-2.0%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 13, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.35 | 12,125 | $16,380.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.44 | 12,125 | $17,481.86 | $17,481.86 |
+$1,016.43 (+6.7%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 20, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.40 | 12,458 | $17,481.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.55 | 12,458 | $19,320.09 | $19,320.09 |
+$1,746.22 (+10.5%) |
TIME_24H
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,320.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,320.09
Total Return:
+93.20%