Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.0/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 39.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 39.0

30-Day Momentum

49
+14.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.8 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,044
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,590.65
Current Value
$19,320.09
Period P&L
$1,144.95
Max Drawdown
-40.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
14 / 12
Best Trade
+10.52%
Worst Trade
-3.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$890,028.10
Estimated Fees
$2,225.07
Gross P&L
$1,144.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,080.12
Gross Return
+7.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.93%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wendy Weekend had $15,590.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.32 12,053 $15,950.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.33 12,053 $16,030.94 $16,030.94 +$0.92
(+0.5%)
TIME_24H
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.30 12,341 $16,030.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.33 12,341 $16,469.79 $16,469.79 +$357.60
(+2.7%)
TIME_24H
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.33 12,396 $16,469.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.35 12,396 $16,750.18 $16,750.18 +$197.34
(+1.7%)
TIME_24H
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.40 11,923 $16,750.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.43 11,923 $17,062.32 $17,062.32 +$227.60
(+1.9%)
TIME_24H
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 26, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.43 11,930 $17,062.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.39 11,930 $16,579.63 $16,579.63 $-566.79
(-2.8%)
TIME_24H
1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 3, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.39 11,898 $16,579.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.40 11,898 $16,642.09 $16,642.09 $-20.59
(+0.4%)
TIME_24H
1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.46 11,417 $16,642.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.47 11,417 $16,765.28 $16,765.28 +$39.67
(+0.7%)
TIME_24H
1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 17, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.42 11,808 $16,765.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.39 11,808 $16,443.27 $16,443.27 $-405.03
(-1.9%)
TIME_24H
1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 24, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.34 12,286 $16,443.27 — — —
🔴 SELL May 25, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.35 12,286 $16,623.14 $16,623.14 +$97.20
(+1.1%)
TIME_24H
1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 31, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.33 12,455 $16,623.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.29 12,455 $16,041.26 $16,041.26 $-663.54
(-3.5%)
TIME_24H
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.13 14,194 $16,041.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.18 14,194 $16,715.46 $16,715.46 +$592.31
(+4.2%)
TIME_24H
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.17 14,326 $16,715.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.25 14,326 $17,890.51 $17,890.51 +$1,088.54
(+7.0%)
TIME_24H
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.13 15,813 $17,890.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.13 15,813 $17,870.59 $17,870.59 $-109.33
(-0.1%)
TIME_24H
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 28, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.05 17,048 $17,870.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.06 17,048 $18,133.47 $18,133.47 +$172.87
(+1.5%)
TIME_24H
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 5, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.14 15,881 $18,133.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.15 15,881 $18,310.06 $18,310.06 +$85.49
(+1.0%)
TIME_24H
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 12, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.09 16,815 $18,310.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.06 16,815 $17,841.94 $17,841.94 $-558.50
(-2.6%)
TIME_24H
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 19, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.09 16,311 $17,841.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.11 16,311 $18,109.45 $18,109.45 +$177.63
(+1.5%)
TIME_24H
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 26, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.11 16,332 $18,109.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.08 16,332 $17,680.55 $17,680.55 $-518.37
(-2.4%)
TIME_24H
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.09 16,280 $17,680.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.08 16,280 $17,566.92 $17,566.92 $-201.75
(-0.6%)
TIME_24H
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 9, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.04 16,871 $17,566.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.02 16,871 $17,139.59 $17,139.59 $-514.10
(-2.4%)
TIME_24H
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 16, 2026 6:00pm ET $0.9931 17,259 $17,139.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.00 17,259 $17,278.70 $17,278.70 +$53.06
(+0.8%)
TIME_24H
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.52 11,375 $17,278.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.48 11,375 $16,855.32 $16,855.32 $-508.71
(-2.5%)
TIME_24H
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.40 12,082 $16,855.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.38 12,082 $16,715.90 $16,715.90 $-223.35
(-0.8%)
TIME_24H
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.42 11,742 $16,715.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.40 11,742 $16,380.77 $16,380.77 $-417.87
(-2.0%)
TIME_24H
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.35 12,125 $16,380.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.44 12,125 $17,481.86 $17,481.86 +$1,016.43
(+6.7%)
TIME_24H
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.40 12,458 $17,481.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.55 12,458 $19,320.09 $19,320.09 +$1,746.22
(+10.5%)
TIME_24H
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,320.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,320.09
Total Return: +93.20%
Back to Wendy Weekend