Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.0/35
Total Return
6.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 17.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 16.9

30-Day Momentum

7
-14.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,905.87
Current Value
$10,440.86
Period P&L
$-1,465.01
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+7.72%
Worst Trade
-6.89%
Avg Trade Return
-1.47%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,293.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,465.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,465.01
Gross Return
-12.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $11,905.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $182.51 66 $12,134.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.19 66 $12,445.75 $12,445.75 +$311.16
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $190.10 65 $12,445.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $178.66 65 $11,696.78 $11,696.78 $-748.97
(-6.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 65 $11,696.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $175.00 65 $11,309.04 $11,309.04 $-387.74
(-3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $191.27 59 $11,309.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.64 59 $10,917.03 $10,917.03 $-392.01
(-3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $179.28 61 $10,917.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.71 61 $10,638.75 $10,638.75 $-278.28
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $177.69 60 $10,638.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.41 60 $11,459.94 $11,459.94 +$821.19
(+7.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $176.67 65 $11,459.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.50 65 $10,670.52 $10,670.52 $-789.42
(-6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:35am ET $203.49 52 $10,670.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $201.49 52 $10,565.38 $10,565.38 $-105.14
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET $204.75 36 $7,287.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $201.06 36 $7,155.84 $10,434.05 $-131.33
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $199.12 52 $10,434.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $199.25 52 $10,440.86 $10,440.86 +$6.81
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,440.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$440.86
Total Return: +4.41%
Back to Wrecking Ball