Compendium › Wrecking Ball › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 5 trades in period

-4.18%
Last Month Return
$15,101.11
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$15,759.66
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:48:33

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 71.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 67.3

30-Day Momentum

2
-2.5%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,759.66
Current Value
$15,101.11
Period P&L
$-658.55
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.98

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+0.07%
Worst Trade
-1.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,026.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-658.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-658.55
Gross Return
-4.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,759.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 65 $15,495.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.96 65 $15,506.50 $15,506.50 +$10.75
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 66 $15,506.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $234.44 66 $15,491.30 $15,491.30 $-15.20
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $231.95 67 $15,491.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.53 67 $15,396.79 $15,396.79 $-94.51
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $228.26 67 $15,396.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.13 67 $15,320.23 $15,320.23 $-76.56
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $225.13 68 $15,320.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.91 68 $15,101.11 $15,101.11 $-219.12
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,101.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,101.11
Total Return: +51.01%
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