Compendium › Wrecking Ball › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-26 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.66%
Last Month Return
$15,264.97
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$15,522.02
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-26 06:16:43

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
6.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 71.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 68.2

30-Day Momentum

4
+0.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.6 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,522.02
Current Value
$15,264.97
Period P&L
$-257.06
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+2.59%
Worst Trade
-2.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$123,110.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-257.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-257.06
Gross Return
-1.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,522.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $227.65 67 $15,258.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.42 67 $15,511.97 $15,511.97 +$253.04
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $228.25 68 $15,511.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $223.57 68 $15,193.92 $15,193.92 $-318.05
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $232.37 65 $15,193.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $238.39 65 $15,587.55 $15,587.55 +$393.63
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $234.09 67 $15,587.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $229.25 67 $15,264.97 $15,264.97 $-322.58
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,264.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,264.97
Total Return: +52.65%
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