Compendium › Wrecking Ball › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 5 trades in period

-5.60%
Last Month Return
$18,268.74
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$19,352.10
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:36:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 67.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

2
-3.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,352.10
Current Value
$18,268.74
Period P&L
$-1,083.35
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+3.09%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$186,942.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,083.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,083.35
Gross Return
-5.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $19,352.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $926.68 20 $18,908.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $955.28 20 $19,492.07 $19,492.07 +$583.47
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $939.69 21 $19,492.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $907.93 21 $18,833.27 $18,833.27 $-658.80
(-3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $906.58 21 $18,833.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $903.96 21 $18,778.84 $18,778.84 $-54.43
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $900.42 21 $18,778.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $852.46 21 $17,778.60 $17,778.60 $-1,000.24
(-5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:30am ET $965.03 18 $17,778.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $991.64 18 $18,268.74 $18,268.74 +$490.14
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,268.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,268.74
Total Return: +82.69%
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