Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.42%
Last Month Return
$14,316.99
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$15,137.94
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 22:13:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.2/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 57.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 56.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,137.94
Current Value
$14,316.99
Period P&L
$-820.95
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-0.15%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
-1.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$116,832.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-820.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-820.95
Gross Return
-5.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,137.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $591.50 26 $15,137.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $581.19 26 $14,874.08 $14,874.08 $-263.86
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:30am ET $585.57 25 $14,874.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $567.63 25 $14,418.39 $14,418.39 $-455.69
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $566.60 25 $14,418.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $565.74 25 $14,396.51 $14,396.51 $-21.88
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $561.09 26 $14,396.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $557.99 26 $14,316.99 $14,316.99 $-79.52
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,316.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,316.99
Total Return: +43.17%
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