Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-27 to present • 6 trades in period

-7.79%
Last Month Return
$15,870.95
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$17,211.89
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 22:39:08

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 64.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 63.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-7.8%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-61 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,211.89
Current Value
$15,870.95
Period P&L
$-1,340.94
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
-1.23%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,031.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,340.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,340.94
Gross Return
-7.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $17,211.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $411.58 42 $17,211.89 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $449.11 42 $18,781.36 $18,781.36 +$1,569.47
(+9.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $446.97 42 $18,781.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $428.08 42 $17,987.62 $17,987.62 $-793.74
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $422.77 43 $17,987.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.65 43 $17,174.14 $17,174.14 $-813.48
(-4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $398.06 43 $17,174.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.42 43 $16,844.52 $16,844.52 $-329.62
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $394.99 43 $16,844.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.57 43 $16,186.63 $16,186.63 $-657.89
(-3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $373.55 43 $16,186.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.26 43 $15,870.95 $15,870.95 $-315.68
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,870.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,870.95
Total Return: +58.71%
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