Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 4 trades in period

+11.66%
Last Month Return
$91,846.11
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$82,251.54
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:18:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

80
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
24.2/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
6.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 80.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 79.6

30-Day Momentum

31
+11.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$82,251.54
Current Value
$91,846.11
Period P&L
$9,594.57
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+12.80%
Worst Trade
-9.42%
Avg Trade Return
+3.15%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$682,617.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$9,594.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$9,594.57
Gross Return
+11.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $82,251.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET $924.79 89 $82,251.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $932.67 89 $82,952.39 $82,952.39 +$700.85
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:20am ET $936.65 89 $82,952.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,014.95 89 $89,886.86 $89,886.86 +$6,934.47
(+8.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $1,020.40 88 $89,886.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $924.29 88 $81,420.81 $81,420.81 $-8,466.05
(-9.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $924.89 88 $81,420.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,043.31 88 $91,846.11 $91,846.11 +$10,425.30
(+12.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $91,846.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$81,846.11
Total Return: +818.46%
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