Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 24 trades in period

+31.92%
Last Year Return
$25,857.63
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$19,600.98
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:28:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

74
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
12.2/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 83.2/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 73.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,542
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$19,600.98
Current Value
$25,857.63
Period P&L
$6,256.65
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+25.10%
Worst Trade
-7.93%
Avg Trade Return
+1.31%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,025,521.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,256.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,256.65
Gross Return
+31.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $19,600.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 9:45am ET $222.67 89 $19,729.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $219.80 89 $19,475.16 $19,475.16 $-253.85
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:15am ET $221.71 88 $19,475.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $215.63 88 $18,941.01 $18,941.01 $-534.15
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:20am ET $217.75 87 $18,941.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $226.99 87 $19,744.32 $19,744.32 +$803.31
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $239.99 82 $19,744.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $244.24 82 $20,093.97 $20,093.97 +$349.65
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET $230.02 87 $20,093.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $217.15 87 $18,970.09 $18,970.09 $-1,123.88
(-5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $228.07 83 $18,970.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $241.58 83 $20,093.39 $20,093.39 +$1,123.30
(+5.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $232.63 86 $20,093.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $239.19 86 $20,660.01 $20,660.01 +$566.62
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $238.12 87 $20,660.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $238.63 87 $20,704.52 $20,704.52 +$44.51
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $224.82 92 $20,704.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.99 92 $19,062.49 $19,062.49 $-1,642.03
(-7.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET $197.95 96 $19,062.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $204.65 96 $19,708.18 $19,708.18 +$645.69
(+3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $205.15 96 $19,708.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $207.91 96 $19,973.33 $19,973.33 +$265.15
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $203.59 98 $19,973.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.10 98 $20,906.81 $20,906.81 +$933.48
(+4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $203.18 103 $20,906.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.57 103 $21,667.23 $21,667.23 +$760.42
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $258.63 84 $21,667.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.50 84 $22,913.44 $22,913.44 +$1,246.21
(+5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:00am ET $264.40 87 $22,913.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.21 87 $22,896.97 $22,896.97 $-16.47
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $257.91 89 $22,896.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.30 89 $23,641.82 $23,641.82 +$744.85
(+3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $263.30 90 $23,641.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.91 90 $22,799.12 $22,799.12 $-842.70
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $248.46 92 $22,799.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.95 92 $21,834.25 $21,834.25 $-964.87
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $235.48 93 $21,834.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.44 93 $22,015.99 $22,015.99 +$181.74
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $238.51 92 $22,015.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.13 92 $20,965.54 $20,965.54 $-1,050.45
(-4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $245.95 85 $20,965.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $244.77 85 $20,864.95 $20,864.95 $-100.59
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $227.03 92 $20,864.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $284.02 92 $26,102.55 $26,102.55 +$5,237.60
(+25.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:05am ET $260.60 100 $26,102.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $258.90 100 $25,932.27 $25,932.27 $-170.28
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $251.90 103 $25,932.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $251.18 103 $25,857.63 $25,857.63 $-74.64
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,857.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,857.63
Total Return: +158.58%
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