Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.4

30-Day Momentum

72
+23.5%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
4.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 88.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+60 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,624
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$25,275.73
Current Value
$5,752.01
Period P&L
$-19,523.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
31 / 38
Best Trade
+8.55%
Worst Trade
-74.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.21%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,681,377.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-19,523.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-19,523.72
Gross Return
-77.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-77.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $25,275.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 11:45am ET $476.49 53 $25,275.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $473.09 53 $25,095.16 $25,095.16 $-180.57
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:20am ET $480.22 52 $25,095.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $499.98 52 $26,127.77 $26,127.77 +$1,032.61
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:15am ET $488.85 53 $26,127.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $495.83 53 $26,501.10 $26,501.10 +$373.33
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $503.60 53 $26,501.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $508.67 53 $26,767.90 $26,767.90 +$266.80
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:30am ET $489.49 55 $26,767.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $484.56 55 $26,498.30 $26,498.30 $-269.60
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:40am ET $494.91 54 $26,498.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $522.11 54 $27,954.63 $27,954.63 +$1,456.33
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 3:05pm ET $537.60 52 $27,954.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $543.03 52 $28,236.98 $28,236.98 +$282.35
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $539.72 52 $28,236.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $534.00 52 $27,937.72 $27,937.72 $-299.26
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $531.41 53 $27,937.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $557.47 53 $29,307.77 $29,307.77 +$1,370.05
(+4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:45am ET $547.34 54 $29,307.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $529.93 54 $28,375.54 $28,375.54 $-932.23
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET $518.60 55 $28,375.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $520.58 55 $28,484.14 $28,484.14 +$108.60
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 2:10pm ET $502.78 57 $28,484.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $490.78 57 $27,804.30 $27,804.30 $-679.84
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $496.00 56 $27,804.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $501.45 56 $28,109.81 $28,109.81 +$305.51
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET $497.00 57 $28,109.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $517.22 57 $29,253.43 $29,253.43 +$1,143.62
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:20am ET $514.99 57 $29,253.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $512.02 57 $29,085.00 $29,085.00 $-168.43
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:50am ET $510.93 57 $29,085.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $517.37 57 $29,451.60 $29,451.60 +$366.60
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET $497.31 59 $29,451.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $488.38 59 $28,922.75 $28,922.75 $-528.85
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:40am ET $477.29 61 $28,922.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $478.78 61 $29,013.04 $29,013.04 +$90.29
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET $462.35 63 $29,013.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $456.58 63 $28,651.11 $28,651.11 $-361.93
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $473.18 61 $28,651.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $470.61 61 $28,495.50 $28,495.50 $-155.61
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET $463.06 62 $28,495.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $460.61 62 $28,344.73 $28,344.73 $-150.77
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $458.49 62 $28,344.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $453.96 62 $28,064.98 $28,064.98 $-279.75
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $446.34 63 $28,064.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $453.88 63 $28,539.08 $28,539.08 +$474.10
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET $474.75 60 $28,539.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $444.65 60 $26,729.93 $26,729.93 $-1,809.15
(-6.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $430.86 62 $26,729.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $415.39 62 $25,770.20 $25,770.20 $-959.73
(-3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $401.96 64 $25,770.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $395.39 64 $25,348.99 $25,348.99 $-421.21
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $403.00 63 $25,348.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $415.80 63 $26,154.12 $26,154.12 +$805.13
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:45am ET $421.46 62 $26,154.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.40 62 $25,716.00 $25,716.00 $-438.12
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $413.28 62 $25,716.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $350.27 62 $21,795.26 $21,795.26 $-3,920.74
(-15.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $377.34 58 $21,795.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.97 58 $21,485.08 $21,485.08 $-310.18
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $377.55 57 $21,485.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $407.59 57 $23,194.25 $23,194.25 +$1,709.17
(+8.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $428.83 54 $23,194.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $436.20 54 $23,592.60 $23,592.60 +$398.35
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET $442.00 53 $23,592.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.78 53 $22,620.07 $22,620.07 $-972.53
(-4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:55am ET $433.48 52 $22,620.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $428.15 52 $22,341.94 $22,341.94 $-278.13
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $406.58 55 $22,341.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $385.86 55 $21,203.36 $21,203.36 $-1,138.58
(-5.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $369.89 57 $21,203.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.92 57 $21,778.09 $21,778.09 +$574.73
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET $436.39 50 $21,778.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $394.68 50 $19,696.55 $19,696.55 $-2,081.54
(-9.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:35am ET $401.96 49 $19,696.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $411.15 49 $20,146.87 $20,146.87 +$450.32
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $448.74 45 $20,146.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $448.08 45 $20,117.46 $20,117.46 $-29.41
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET $452.34 44 $20,117.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $452.39 44 $20,119.68 $20,119.68 +$2.22
(+0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
41 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $465.85 43 $20,119.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $505.70 43 $21,840.77 $21,840.77 +$1,721.09
(+8.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
42 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $557.31 39 $21,840.77 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $594.33 39 $23,291.57 $23,291.57 +$1,450.80
(+6.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
43 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:45am ET $622.07 37 $23,291.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $650.39 37 $24,351.92 $24,351.92 +$1,060.35
(+4.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
44 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $650.56 37 $24,351.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $645.20 37 $24,151.28 $24,151.28 $-200.64
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $769.07 31 $24,151.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $747.36 31 $23,469.52 $23,469.52 $-681.76
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $685.44 34 $23,469.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $658.65 34 $22,552.39 $22,552.39 $-917.13
(-3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $681.36 33 $22,552.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $692.99 33 $22,937.33 $22,937.33 +$384.94
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:55am ET $679.48 34 $22,937.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $685.60 34 $23,143.75 $23,143.75 +$206.42
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:25am ET $679.93 34 $23,143.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $175.11 34 $5,960.55 $5,960.55 $-17,183.20
(-74.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET $193.19 31 $5,960.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $193.67 31 $5,975.32 $5,975.32 +$14.77
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $198.46 30 $5,975.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.40 30 $5,853.23 $5,853.23 $-122.09
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:10am ET $194.00 30 $5,853.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.87 30 $5,668.28 $5,668.28 $-184.95
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:30am ET $209.37 27 $5,668.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $203.77 27 $5,516.67 $5,516.67 $-151.61
(-2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $204.66 27 $5,516.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $198.42 27 $5,348.34 $5,348.34 $-168.33
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $186.83 29 $5,348.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.43 29 $5,251.01 $5,251.01 $-97.33
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $182.15 29 $5,251.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.87 29 $5,242.79 $5,242.79 $-8.22
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:45pm ET $179.42 29 $5,242.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.22 29 $5,412.27 $5,412.27 +$169.48
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $213.18 25 $5,412.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $207.45 25 $5,266.92 $5,266.92 $-145.35
(-2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $220.87 24 $5,266.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.81 24 $5,289.34 $5,289.34 +$22.42
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $221.49 24 $5,289.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.91 24 $5,108.23 $5,108.23 $-181.11
(-3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $208.65 24 $5,108.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $190.30 24 $4,659.09 $4,659.09 $-449.14
(-8.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:05am ET $189.54 25 $4,659.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.33 25 $4,555.60 $4,555.60 $-103.49
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $218.86 21 $4,555.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.04 21 $4,809.13 $4,809.13 +$253.53
(+5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $206.88 23 $4,809.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $214.97 23 $4,997.27 $4,997.27 +$188.14
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $209.11 24 $4,997.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $207.79 24 $4,965.72 $4,965.72 $-31.55
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $210.60 24 $4,965.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.67 24 $4,873.11 $4,873.11 $-92.61
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $233.04 21 $4,873.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $241.41 21 $5,048.14 $5,048.14 +$175.03
(+3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $242.66 21 $5,048.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $249.27 21 $5,185.65 $5,185.65 +$137.51
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $230.85 29 $6,802.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.07 29 $7,368.90 $5,752.01 +$566.36
(+8.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,752.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,247.99
Total Return: -42.48%
Back to Wrecking Ball