HD Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 53 trades in period
-1.95%
Last Year Return
$13,774.68
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$14,048.67
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
28.1/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
54.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 54.1
30-Day Momentum
2
-7.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-52 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,816
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$14,048.67
Current Value
$13,774.68
Period P&L
$-273.99
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
23 /
30
Best Trade
+9.52%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,527,166.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-273.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-273.99
Gross Return
-1.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,048.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $411.41 | 35 | $14,208.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $407.48 | 35 | $14,072.32 | $14,072.32 |
$-135.72 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $406.40 | 35 | $14,072.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $395.01 | 35 | $13,677.92 | $13,677.92 |
$-394.40 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $391.93 | 35 | $13,677.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $377.83 | 35 | $13,185.85 | $13,185.85 |
$-492.07 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:50am ET | $375.50 | 35 | $13,185.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $388.67 | 35 | $13,648.32 | $13,648.32 |
+$462.47 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:55am ET | $385.95 | 35 | $13,648.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $385.82 | 35 | $13,643.90 | $13,643.90 |
$-4.42 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $382.98 | 36 | $13,643.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $378.44 | 36 | $13,482.34 | $13,482.34 |
$-161.56 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $379.37 | 36 | $13,482.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $370.45 | 36 | $13,165.33 | $13,165.33 |
$-317.01 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $371.52 | 35 | $13,165.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $358.29 | 35 | $12,696.33 | $12,696.33 |
$-469.00 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $344.65 | 37 | $12,696.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $343.86 | 37 | $12,667.41 | $12,667.41 |
$-28.92 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $339.37 | 37 | $12,667.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $356.92 | 37 | $13,322.49 | $13,322.49 |
+$655.08 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $354.38 | 38 | $13,322.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $354.58 | 38 | $13,330.01 | $13,330.01 |
+$7.52 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $347.85 | 38 | $13,330.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $357.64 | 38 | $13,705.31 | $13,705.31 |
+$375.30 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $353.67 | 39 | $13,705.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $345.05 | 39 | $13,371.27 | $13,371.27 |
$-334.04 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $342.39 | 39 | $13,371.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $347.43 | 39 | $13,568.10 | $13,568.10 |
+$196.83 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $341.12 | 40 | $13,568.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $349.12 | 40 | $13,886.19 | $13,886.19 |
+$318.09 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.78 | 40 | $13,886.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.81 | 40 | $15,208.84 | $15,208.84 |
+$1,322.65 (+9.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.29 | 41 | $15,208.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $383.77 | 41 | $15,636.03 | $15,636.03 |
+$427.19 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $382.66 | 41 | $15,636.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $374.73 | 41 | $15,312.00 | $15,312.00 |
$-324.03 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $384.81 | 40 | $15,312.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $385.25 | 40 | $15,329.51 | $15,329.51 |
+$17.51 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $380.45 | 40 | $15,329.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $390.22 | 40 | $15,723.17 | $15,723.17 |
+$393.66 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $388.05 | 41 | $15,723.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $378.53 | 41 | $15,337.24 | $15,337.24 |
$-385.93 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $376.18 | 41 | $15,337.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $375.15 | 41 | $15,295.25 | $15,295.25 |
$-41.99 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.23 | 41 | $15,295.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $369.07 | 41 | $15,124.57 | $15,124.57 |
$-170.68 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $365.21 | 41 | $15,124.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $357.17 | 41 | $14,791.61 | $14,791.61 |
$-332.96 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $354.45 | 42 | $14,791.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $342.58 | 42 | $14,296.26 | $14,296.26 |
$-495.35 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $338.39 | 42 | $14,296.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $330.89 | 42 | $13,979.20 | $13,979.20 |
$-317.06 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.64 | 43 | $13,979.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $321.52 | 43 | $13,844.64 | $13,844.64 |
$-134.56 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $323.67 | 43 | $13,844.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $326.63 | 43 | $13,971.04 | $13,971.04 |
+$126.40 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.74 | 44 | $13,971.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $337.31 | 44 | $14,692.81 | $14,692.81 |
+$721.77 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $333.93 | 44 | $14,692.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $337.14 | 44 | $14,834.05 | $14,834.05 |
+$141.24 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $344.93 | 43 | $14,834.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $340.14 | 43 | $14,627.84 | $14,627.84 |
$-206.21 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $328.77 | 44 | $14,627.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $323.88 | 44 | $14,410.49 | $14,410.49 |
$-217.35 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.29 | 45 | $14,410.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $322.67 | 45 | $14,563.04 | $14,563.04 |
+$152.55 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.70 | 46 | $14,563.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $304.42 | 46 | $14,132.23 | $14,132.23 |
$-430.81 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $300.49 | 47 | $14,132.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $310.60 | 47 | $14,607.47 | $14,607.47 |
+$475.24 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.22 | 48 | $14,607.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $318.01 | 48 | $15,219.58 | $15,219.58 |
+$612.11 (+4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.00 | 49 | $15,219.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $310.01 | 49 | $15,074.19 | $15,074.19 |
$-145.39 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $321.42 | 47 | $15,074.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.99 | 47 | $15,804.16 | $15,804.16 |
+$729.97 (+4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $332.92 | 47 | $15,804.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $324.45 | 47 | $15,402.08 | $15,402.08 |
$-402.08 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $348.98 | 44 | $15,402.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.19 | 44 | $14,837.39 | $14,837.39 |
$-564.69 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $340.21 | 44 | $14,837.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $347.85 | 44 | $15,170.59 | $15,170.59 |
+$333.20 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $347.33 | 44 | $15,170.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $331.49 | 44 | $14,478.73 | $14,478.73 |
$-691.86 (-4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.39 | 44 | $14,478.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $344.49 | 44 | $15,234.97 | $15,234.97 |
+$756.24 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.74 | 45 | $15,234.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $340.08 | 45 | $15,340.52 | $15,340.52 |
+$105.55 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $350.31 | 44 | $15,340.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $354.55 | 44 | $15,526.19 | $15,526.19 |
+$185.67 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $349.80 | 44 | $15,526.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $338.33 | 44 | $15,017.08 | $15,017.08 |
$-509.11 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.96 | 45 | $15,017.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $335.70 | 45 | $15,140.66 | $15,140.66 |
+$123.58 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $337.35 | 45 | $15,140.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $328.59 | 45 | $14,747.50 | $14,747.50 |
$-393.16 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $326.39 | 45 | $14,747.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $318.01 | 45 | $14,368.86 | $14,368.86 |
$-378.64 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $317.74 | 45 | $14,368.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $308.75 | 45 | $13,962.09 | $13,962.09 |
$-406.77 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.07 | 45 | $13,962.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $299.95 | 45 | $13,594.08 | $13,594.08 |
$-368.01 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $296.73 | 46 | $13,594.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $306.02 | 46 | $14,019.45 | $14,019.45 |
+$425.37 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $296.91 | 46 | $13,532.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $291.54 | 46 | $13,287.95 | $13,774.68 |
$-244.77 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,774.68
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,774.68
Total Return:
+37.75%