IWM Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 33 trades in period
+25.62%
Last Year Return
$14,735.00
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$11,730.24
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
63
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
33.2/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
65.5/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 63.2
30-Day Momentum
9
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-54 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,579
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,730.24
Current Value
$14,735.00
Period P&L
$3,004.76
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
23 /
10
Best Trade
+4.66%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$898,274.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,004.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,004.76
Gross Return
+25.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.62%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $11,730.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $238.94 | 49 | $11,730.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $241.96 | 49 | $11,878.50 | $11,878.50 |
+$148.26 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $242.00 | 49 | $11,878.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $250.34 | 49 | $12,287.87 | $12,287.87 |
+$409.37 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $245.89 | 50 | $12,287.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $246.98 | 50 | $12,342.34 | $12,342.34 |
+$54.47 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $245.95 | 50 | $12,342.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $245.42 | 50 | $12,315.74 | $12,315.74 |
$-26.60 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $242.99 | 51 | $12,315.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $244.25 | 51 | $12,379.86 | $12,379.86 |
+$64.12 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $241.11 | 51 | $12,379.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $233.46 | 51 | $11,987.07 | $11,987.07 |
$-392.79 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $235.92 | 51 | $11,987.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $245.13 | 51 | $12,455.03 | $12,455.03 |
+$467.96 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $246.09 | 51 | $12,455.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $251.82 | 51 | $12,745.03 | $12,745.03 |
+$290.00 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $249.09 | 51 | $12,745.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $253.59 | 51 | $12,975.54 | $12,975.54 |
+$230.51 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.23 | 49 | $12,975.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $264.82 | 49 | $13,103.70 | $13,103.70 |
+$128.16 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $261.06 | 50 | $13,103.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $262.82 | 50 | $13,192.29 | $13,192.29 |
+$88.59 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $259.52 | 51 | $13,192.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $266.86 | 51 | $13,565.41 | $13,565.41 |
+$373.12 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $263.17 | 52 | $13,565.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $263.04 | 52 | $13,558.45 | $13,558.45 |
$-6.96 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $260.73 | 52 | $13,558.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $265.94 | 52 | $13,829.38 | $13,829.38 |
+$270.93 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.02 | 54 | $13,829.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $250.89 | 54 | $13,552.27 | $13,552.27 |
$-277.11 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $253.80 | 53 | $13,552.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $246.55 | 53 | $13,165.14 | $13,165.14 |
$-387.13 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $247.41 | 53 | $13,165.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $247.44 | 53 | $13,166.74 | $13,166.74 |
+$1.60 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $245.13 | 54 | $13,166.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $249.54 | 54 | $13,403.89 | $13,403.89 |
+$237.15 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $249.86 | 54 | $13,403.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $261.30 | 54 | $14,017.59 | $14,017.59 |
+$613.70 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $276.38 | 51 | $14,017.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $276.64 | 51 | $14,031.03 | $14,031.03 |
+$13.44 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $274.33 | 51 | $14,031.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $279.31 | 51 | $14,285.74 | $14,285.74 |
+$254.71 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $276.65 | 52 | $14,285.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $282.29 | 52 | $14,576.98 | $14,576.98 |
+$291.24 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $282.29 | 52 | $14,576.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $277.62 | 52 | $14,335.83 | $14,335.83 |
$-241.15 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.42 | 53 | $14,335.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $285.11 | 53 | $15,003.63 | $15,003.63 |
+$667.80 (+4.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $289.04 | 52 | $15,003.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $287.68 | 52 | $14,933.03 | $14,933.03 |
$-70.60 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $289.07 | 52 | $14,933.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $282.01 | 52 | $14,568.32 | $14,568.32 |
$-364.71 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $293.30 | 50 | $14,568.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $298.18 | 50 | $14,810.51 | $14,810.51 |
+$242.19 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $298.36 | 50 | $14,810.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $293.47 | 50 | $14,567.53 | $14,567.53 |
$-242.98 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $292.07 | 50 | $14,567.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $293.76 | 50 | $14,651.82 | $14,651.82 |
+$84.29 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $291.82 | 50 | $14,651.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $292.52 | 50 | $14,686.96 | $14,686.96 |
+$35.14 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $298.52 | 49 | $14,686.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $299.25 | 49 | $14,722.63 | $14,722.63 |
+$35.67 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $293.45 | 50 | $14,722.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $295.16 | 50 | $14,808.67 | $14,808.67 |
+$86.04 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $285.44 | 52 | $14,808.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $284.02 | 52 | $14,735.00 | $14,735.00 |
$-73.67 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,735.00
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,735.00
Total Return:
+47.35%