Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:05:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.4/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 72.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 72.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-69 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,592
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,559.76
Current Value
$26,177.49
Period P&L
$10,617.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
32 / 25
Best Trade
+10.69%
Worst Trade
-5.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,457,799.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,617.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,617.73
Gross Return
+68.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+68.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 57 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,559.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:20am ET $754.06 21 $15,766.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $741.95 21 $15,513.76 $15,513.76 $-253.21
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET $731.32 21 $15,513.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $762.38 21 $16,172.65 $16,172.65 +$658.89
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 10:30am ET $817.06 20 $16,172.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $843.92 20 $16,704.31 $16,704.31 +$531.66
(+3.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET $852.11 20 $16,704.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $826.79 20 $16,207.95 $16,207.95 $-496.36
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $794.00 20 $16,207.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $812.39 20 $16,583.35 $16,583.35 +$375.40
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $819.42 20 $16,583.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $844.22 20 $17,085.28 $17,085.28 +$501.93
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $838.00 20 $17,085.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $925.84 20 $18,876.18 $18,876.18 +$1,790.90
(+10.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $919.10 21 $18,876.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $988.73 21 $20,306.22 $20,306.22 +$1,430.04
(+7.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET $1,005.15 20 $20,306.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,022.67 20 $20,660.16 $20,660.16 +$353.94
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $1,042.43 20 $20,660.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,109.59 20 $21,991.12 $21,991.12 +$1,330.96
(+6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $1,090.65 20 $21,991.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,033.27 20 $20,834.24 $20,834.24 $-1,156.88
(-5.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET $1,020.80 20 $20,834.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $981.86 20 $20,039.49 $20,039.49 $-794.75
(-3.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET $978.21 20 $20,039.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,061.88 20 $21,753.65 $21,753.65 +$1,714.16
(+8.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET $1,044.06 21 $21,753.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,070.50 21 $22,304.54 $22,304.54 +$550.89
(+2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET $1,067.42 21 $22,304.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,077.51 21 $22,515.48 $22,515.48 +$210.94
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $1,072.70 21 $22,515.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,041.44 21 $21,859.35 $21,859.35 $-656.13
(-2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET $1,054.02 21 $21,859.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,063.56 21 $22,057.23 $22,057.23 +$197.88
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $1,066.85 21 $22,057.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,041.87 21 $21,540.87 $21,540.87 $-516.36
(-2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET $1,082.40 20 $21,540.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,038.54 20 $20,668.01 $20,668.01 $-872.86
(-4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,019.00 20 $20,668.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,043.09 20 $21,156.62 $21,156.62 +$488.61
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET $1,034.37 20 $21,156.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,057.89 20 $21,637.69 $21,637.69 +$481.07
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $1,064.47 20 $21,637.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,038.95 20 $21,118.94 $21,118.94 $-518.75
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,038.95 20 $21,118.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,020.16 20 $20,736.99 $20,736.99 $-381.95
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET $1,007.54 21 $20,736.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,029.54 21 $21,189.79 $21,189.79 +$452.80
(+2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,015.76 21 $21,189.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,007.51 21 $21,017.69 $21,017.69 $-172.10
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $999.72 21 $21,017.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,008.44 21 $21,201.02 $21,201.02 +$183.33
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET $985.40 22 $21,201.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $930.51 22 $20,020.05 $20,020.05 $-1,180.97
(-5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $912.84 22 $20,020.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $910.77 22 $19,974.62 $19,974.62 $-45.43
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $902.89 22 $19,974.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $877.69 22 $19,417.23 $19,417.23 $-557.39
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $887.02 22 $19,417.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $935.58 22 $20,480.23 $20,480.23 +$1,063.00
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $903.52 23 $20,480.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $939.57 23 $21,297.38 $21,297.38 +$817.15
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $934.84 23 $21,297.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $903.43 23 $20,581.69 $20,581.69 $-715.69
(-3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $892.33 23 $20,581.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $884.27 23 $20,395.79 $20,395.79 $-185.90
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET $880.07 23 $20,395.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $934.31 23 $21,652.75 $21,652.75 +$1,256.96
(+6.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
35 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:30am ET $964.74 22 $21,652.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $987.05 22 $22,153.48 $22,153.48 +$500.73
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
36 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $980.70 23 $22,153.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $990.04 23 $22,364.46 $22,364.46 +$210.98
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
37 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,007.33 22 $22,364.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,021.41 22 $22,677.17 $22,677.17 +$312.71
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
38 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:25am ET $1,013.35 22 $22,677.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,066.18 22 $23,859.42 $23,859.42 +$1,182.25
(+5.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
39 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:20am ET $1,127.10 21 $23,859.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,064.63 21 $22,536.96 $22,536.96 $-1,322.46
(-5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,124.95 20 $22,536.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,143.86 20 $22,915.80 $22,915.80 +$378.84
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $1,141.74 20 $22,915.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,130.66 20 $22,693.31 $22,693.31 $-222.49
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $1,131.76 20 $22,693.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,103.69 20 $22,130.57 $22,130.57 $-562.74
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET $1,110.33 20 $22,130.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,229.05 20 $24,496.84 $24,496.84 +$2,366.27
(+10.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,212.05 20 $24,496.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,202.56 20 $24,305.00 $24,305.00 $-191.84
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,218.18 20 $24,305.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,184.84 20 $23,639.90 $23,639.90 $-665.10
(-2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,152.25 21 $23,639.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,178.58 21 $24,180.09 $24,180.09 +$540.19
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:35am ET $1,165.81 21 $24,180.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,185.07 21 $24,579.56 $24,579.56 +$399.47
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:50am ET $1,218.03 20 $24,579.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,148.05 20 $23,167.48 $23,167.48 $-1,412.08
(-5.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $1,134.37 20 $23,167.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,192.80 20 $24,360.81 $24,360.81 +$1,193.33
(+5.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $1,164.65 21 $24,360.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,220.42 21 $25,527.34 $25,527.34 +$1,166.53
(+4.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,182.74 22 $25,527.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,281.49 22 $27,658.57 $27,658.57 +$2,131.23
(+8.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,263.13 22 $27,658.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,233.57 22 $27,011.40 $27,011.40 $-647.17
(-2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,217.00 22 $27,011.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,157.51 22 $25,690.90 $25,690.90 $-1,320.50
(-4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET $1,167.02 22 $25,690.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,148.74 22 $25,288.59 $25,288.59 $-402.31
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,120.06 23 $25,288.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,115.25 23 $25,179.88 $25,179.88 $-108.71
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:45am ET $1,145.49 22 $25,179.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,174.56 22 $25,818.96 $25,818.96 +$639.08
(+2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:45am ET $1,144.76 14 $15,957.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,170.48 14 $16,316.34 $26,177.49 +$358.53
(+2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $26,177.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$16,177.49
Total Return: +161.77%
Back to Wrecking Ball