Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 20 trades in period

-7.57%
Last Year Return
$12,025.61
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$13,010.14
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.2/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 39.8/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 34.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.6%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,405
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,010.14
Current Value
$12,025.61
Period P&L
$-984.53
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
7 / 13
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$496,336.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-984.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-984.53
Gross Return
-7.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,010.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET $295.79 44 $13,010.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $293.85 44 $12,924.81 $12,924.81 $-85.33
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:45am ET $303.03 43 $12,924.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $296.45 43 $12,644.16 $12,644.16 $-280.65
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $303.05 42 $12,644.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $306.83 42 $12,801.66 $12,801.66 +$157.50
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET $305.18 42 $12,801.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $302.73 42 $12,698.89 $12,698.89 $-102.77
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $306.17 41 $12,698.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $308.50 41 $12,795.53 $12,795.53 +$96.64
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $301.20 42 $12,795.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $304.12 42 $12,919.79 $12,919.79 +$124.26
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $330.42 39 $12,919.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $327.98 39 $12,824.38 $12,824.38 $-95.41
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $322.10 40 $12,824.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $308.50 40 $12,282.90 $12,282.90 $-541.48
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $305.69 40 $12,282.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $304.89 40 $12,250.76 $12,250.76 $-32.14
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $296.05 41 $12,250.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.60 41 $12,149.17 $12,149.17 $-101.59
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $279.97 43 $12,149.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $275.60 43 $11,959.64 $11,959.64 $-189.53
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $276.62 43 $11,959.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $279.33 43 $12,076.81 $12,076.81 +$117.17
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $273.85 44 $12,076.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.68 44 $11,672.63 $11,672.63 $-404.18
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:30am ET $266.38 44 $11,672.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $280.32 44 $12,283.25 $12,283.25 +$610.62
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:05am ET $274.69 45 $12,283.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $276.48 45 $12,363.29 $12,363.29 +$80.04
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $272.56 45 $12,363.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $270.67 45 $12,277.56 $12,277.56 $-85.73
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $267.75 46 $12,277.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $269.16 46 $12,342.22 $12,342.22 +$64.66
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:10am ET $262.79 47 $12,342.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $261.24 47 $12,269.42 $12,269.42 $-72.80
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $256.79 48 $12,269.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.53 48 $12,113.66 $12,113.66 $-155.76
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:50am ET $249.70 49 $12,113.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.88 49 $12,025.61 $12,025.61 $-88.05
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,025.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,025.61
Total Return: +20.26%
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