MU Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 50 trades in period
+589.45%
Last Year Return
$91,846.11
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$13,321.60
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
80
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
24.2/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
6.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
80.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 79.6
30-Day Momentum
31
+11.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.5
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,628
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,321.60
Current Value
$91,846.11
Period P&L
$78,524.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
34 /
16
Best Trade
+26.11%
Worst Trade
-19.85%
Avg Trade Return
+4.54%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$4,762,824.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$78,524.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$78,524.51
Gross Return
+589.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+589.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,321.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 1:40pm ET | $165.74 | 79 | $13,111.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $157.28 | 79 | $12,442.67 | $12,442.67 |
$-669.28 (-5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $186.71 | 67 | $12,442.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $192.58 | 67 | $12,834.16 | $12,834.16 |
+$391.49 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 1:25pm ET | $177.00 | 73 | $12,834.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $192.02 | 73 | $13,923.25 | $13,923.25 |
+$1,089.09 (+8.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $198.83 | 70 | $13,923.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $198.00 | 70 | $13,864.86 | $13,864.86 |
$-58.39 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 12:10pm ET | $226.33 | 61 | $13,864.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 2:55pm ET | $233.32 | 61 | $14,292.99 | $14,292.99 |
+$428.13 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 2:40pm ET | $213.89 | 67 | $14,292.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET | $239.91 | 67 | $16,031.70 | $16,031.70 |
+$1,738.71 (+12.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $242.62 | 66 | $16,031.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:55pm ET | $250.10 | 66 | $16,525.96 | $16,525.96 |
+$494.26 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.28 | 71 | $16,525.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:55pm ET | $208.40 | 71 | $14,891.41 | $14,891.41 |
$-1,634.55 (-9.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:45am ET | $222.06 | 67 | $14,891.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 2:55pm ET | $239.63 | 67 | $16,069.52 | $16,069.52 |
+$1,178.11 (+7.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $227.65 | 71 | $16,069.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:55pm ET | $252.22 | 71 | $17,803.62 | $17,803.62 |
+$1,734.10 (+10.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:40pm ET | $255.34 | 70 | $17,803.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $232.59 | 70 | $16,217.37 | $16,217.37 |
$-1,586.25 (-8.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $222.03 | 73 | $16,217.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $276.62 | 73 | $20,204.70 | $20,204.70 |
+$3,987.33 (+24.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $289.31 | 70 | $20,204.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $343.35 | 70 | $23,978.72 | $23,978.72 |
+$3,774.02 (+18.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $328.58 | 73 | $23,978.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $338.18 | 73 | $24,679.36 | $24,679.36 |
+$700.64 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $355.35 | 69 | $24,679.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $397.59 | 69 | $27,612.96 | $27,612.96 |
+$2,933.60 (+11.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $389.13 | 71 | $27,612.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $435.79 | 71 | $30,924.39 | $30,924.39 |
+$3,311.43 (+12.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $423.31 | 73 | $30,924.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.75 | 73 | $27,742.17 | $27,742.17 |
$-3,182.22 (-10.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $375.74 | 74 | $27,742.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $410.35 | 74 | $30,297.14 | $30,297.14 |
+$2,554.97 (+9.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $415.93 | 73 | $30,297.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $420.96 | 73 | $30,663.53 | $30,663.53 |
+$366.39 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $419.30 | 73 | $30,663.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $415.72 | 73 | $30,402.09 | $30,402.09 |
$-261.44 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $401.40 | 76 | $30,402.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $397.02 | 76 | $30,070.35 | $30,070.35 |
$-331.74 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $380.92 | 79 | $30,070.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $418.56 | 79 | $33,041.70 | $33,041.70 |
+$2,971.35 (+9.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $418.01 | 79 | $33,041.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $461.84 | 79 | $36,506.25 | $36,506.25 |
+$3,464.55 (+10.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $439.00 | 83 | $36,506.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $382.09 | 83 | $31,773.74 | $31,773.74 |
$-4,732.51 (-13.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $354.46 | 90 | $31,773.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $337.61 | 90 | $30,263.76 | $30,263.76 |
$-1,509.98 (-4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $370.13 | 82 | $30,263.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $377.70 | 82 | $30,882.72 | $30,882.72 |
+$618.96 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $400.34 | 77 | $30,882.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $465.42 | 77 | $35,903.49 | $35,903.49 |
+$5,020.77 (+16.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $458.38 | 78 | $35,903.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $487.33 | 78 | $38,171.47 | $38,171.47 |
+$2,267.98 (+6.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $481.93 | 79 | $38,171.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $504.24 | 79 | $39,938.13 | $39,938.13 |
+$1,766.66 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $507.90 | 79 | $39,938.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $640.49 | 79 | $50,364.19 | $50,364.19 |
+$10,426.06 (+26.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $644.46 | 78 | $50,364.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $765.77 | 78 | $59,844.11 | $59,844.11 |
+$9,479.92 (+18.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $788.64 | 76 | $59,844.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $698.70 | 76 | $53,019.22 | $53,019.22 |
$-6,824.89 (-11.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $745.35 | 71 | $53,019.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $928.41 | 71 | $66,040.89 | $66,040.89 |
+$13,021.67 (+24.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 2:45pm ET | $928.00 | 71 | $66,040.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,064.08 | 71 | $75,724.99 | $75,724.99 |
+$9,684.10 (+14.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,013.98 | 75 | $75,724.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $935.89 | 75 | $69,893.16 | $69,893.16 |
$-5,831.83 (-7.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $890.46 | 78 | $69,893.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,087.63 | 78 | $85,369.10 | $85,369.10 |
+$15,475.94 (+22.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1,034.46 | 83 | $85,369.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,211.20 | 83 | $99,954.62 | $99,954.62 |
+$14,585.52 (+17.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,072.10 | 93 | $99,954.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,125.39 | 93 | $104,923.02 | $104,923.02 |
+$4,968.40 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,137.10 | 92 | $104,923.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $984.31 | 92 | $90,824.71 | $90,824.71 |
$-14,098.31 (-13.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $922.66 | 98 | $90,824.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $978.69 | 98 | $96,340.70 | $96,340.70 |
+$5,515.99 (+6.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $959.86 | 100 | $96,340.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $848.95 | 100 | $85,208.72 | $85,208.72 |
$-11,131.98 (-11.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $873.26 | 98 | $85,208.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $990.24 | 98 | $96,623.09 | $96,623.09 |
+$11,414.37 (+13.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $920.60 | 105 | $96,623.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $737.88 | 105 | $77,444.99 | $77,444.99 |
$-19,178.10 (-19.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $863.42 | 90 | $77,444.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $892.70 | 90 | $80,071.28 | $80,071.28 |
+$2,626.29 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $880.91 | 91 | $80,071.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $911.16 | 91 | $82,820.42 | $82,820.42 |
+$2,749.14 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $973.40 | 85 | $82,820.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $966.72 | 85 | $82,251.54 | $82,251.54 |
$-568.88 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $924.79 | 89 | $82,251.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $932.67 | 89 | $82,952.39 | $82,952.39 |
+$700.85 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $936.65 | 89 | $82,952.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,014.95 | 89 | $89,886.86 | $89,886.86 |
+$6,934.47 (+8.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $1,020.40 | 88 | $89,886.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $924.29 | 88 | $81,420.81 | $81,420.81 |
$-8,466.05 (-9.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $924.89 | 88 | $81,420.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,043.31 | 88 | $91,846.11 | $91,846.11 |
+$10,425.30 (+12.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$91,846.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$81,846.11
Total Return:
+818.46%