QQQ Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+24.12%
Last Year Return
$19,678.91
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$15,854.18
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
77
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
8.7/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality
78.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 76.9
30-Day Momentum
38
+5.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.1
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,988
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,854.18
Current Value
$19,678.91
Period P&L
$3,824.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
26 /
13
Best Trade
+3.55%
Worst Trade
-3.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,340,001.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,824.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,824.73
Gross Return
+24.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,854.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $588.62 | 27 | $15,854.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $598.75 | 27 | $16,127.03 | $16,127.03 |
+$272.85 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $604.54 | 27 | $16,127.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $598.05 | 27 | $15,953.90 | $15,953.90 |
$-173.13 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $596.92 | 27 | $15,953.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $603.88 | 27 | $16,140.05 | $16,140.05 |
+$186.15 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $621.69 | 26 | $16,140.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $611.70 | 26 | $15,880.69 | $15,880.69 |
$-259.36 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $613.10 | 26 | $15,880.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $603.65 | 26 | $15,635.91 | $15,635.91 |
$-244.78 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET | $598.89 | 26 | $15,635.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $590.16 | 26 | $15,407.99 | $15,407.99 |
$-227.92 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $598.03 | 26 | $15,407.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $619.25 | 26 | $15,954.71 | $15,954.71 |
+$546.72 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $622.16 | 26 | $15,954.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $610.49 | 26 | $15,655.44 | $15,655.44 |
$-299.27 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $604.51 | 26 | $15,655.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $617.24 | 26 | $15,985.12 | $15,985.12 |
+$329.68 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $615.14 | 26 | $15,985.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $623.47 | 26 | $16,201.59 | $16,201.59 |
+$216.47 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $619.17 | 26 | $16,201.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $621.04 | 26 | $16,250.52 | $16,250.52 |
+$48.93 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $608.50 | 27 | $16,250.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $622.78 | 27 | $16,631.88 | $16,631.88 |
+$381.36 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $626.19 | 27 | $16,631.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $626.22 | 27 | $16,632.68 | $16,632.68 |
+$0.80 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $601.21 | 28 | $16,632.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $614.32 | 28 | $16,995.37 | $16,995.37 |
+$362.69 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET | $609.76 | 28 | $16,995.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $601.82 | 28 | $16,774.06 | $16,774.06 |
$-221.31 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $608.93 | 28 | $16,774.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $608.04 | 28 | $16,749.54 | $16,749.54 |
$-24.52 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $603.77 | 28 | $16,749.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $607.76 | 28 | $16,860.09 | $16,860.09 |
+$110.55 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $600.16 | 28 | $16,860.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $600.31 | 28 | $16,864.30 | $16,864.30 |
+$4.21 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $587.82 | 29 | $16,864.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $588.17 | 29 | $16,874.48 | $16,874.48 |
+$10.18 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $580.52 | 29 | $16,874.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $558.27 | 29 | $16,227.73 | $16,227.73 |
$-646.75 (-3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $574.55 | 28 | $16,227.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $588.72 | 28 | $16,627.95 | $16,627.95 |
+$400.22 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $647.41 | 26 | $16,627.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $664.27 | 26 | $17,061.11 | $17,061.11 |
+$433.16 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $705.04 | 24 | $17,061.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $719.72 | 24 | $17,416.23 | $17,416.23 |
+$355.12 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $697.03 | 25 | $17,416.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $714.44 | 25 | $17,851.24 | $17,851.24 |
+$435.01 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $734.46 | 24 | $17,851.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $716.10 | 24 | $17,404.99 | $17,404.99 |
$-446.25 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $701.73 | 25 | $17,404.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $716.56 | 25 | $17,772.82 | $17,772.82 |
+$367.83 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $721.80 | 25 | $17,772.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $738.05 | 25 | $18,172.82 | $18,172.82 |
+$400.00 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $709.16 | 26 | $18,172.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $705.54 | 26 | $18,080.05 | $18,080.05 |
$-92.77 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $726.23 | 25 | $18,080.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $722.65 | 25 | $17,990.92 | $17,990.92 |
$-89.13 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $716.23 | 25 | $17,990.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $717.69 | 25 | $18,027.59 | $18,027.59 |
+$36.67 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $690.27 | 26 | $18,027.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $708.95 | 26 | $18,515.38 | $18,515.38 |
+$487.79 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $695.75 | 27 | $18,515.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $682.06 | 27 | $18,151.06 | $18,151.06 |
$-364.32 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $669.11 | 27 | $18,151.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $688.01 | 27 | $18,663.62 | $18,663.62 |
+$512.56 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $710.91 | 26 | $18,663.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $720.80 | 26 | $18,923.26 | $18,923.26 |
+$259.64 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $720.03 | 26 | $18,923.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $710.95 | 26 | $18,684.76 | $18,684.76 |
$-238.50 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $705.89 | 26 | $18,684.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $711.30 | 26 | $18,828.09 | $18,828.09 |
+$143.33 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $706.99 | 27 | $18,828.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $717.61 | 27 | $19,110.91 | $19,110.91 |
+$282.82 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $707.78 | 27 | $19,110.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $709.16 | 27 | $19,148.31 | $19,148.31 |
+$37.40 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $701.91 | 27 | $19,148.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $721.36 | 27 | $19,678.91 | $19,678.91 |
+$530.60 (+2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,678.91
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,678.91
Total Return:
+96.79%