TMO Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 32 trades in period
+9.67%
Last Year Return
$15,390.59
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$14,033.49
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
62
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
67.4/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 61.8
30-Day Momentum
0
-0.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-62 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,040
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
252 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$14,033.49
Current Value
$15,390.59
Period P&L
$1,357.10
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
19 /
13
Best Trade
+5.03%
Worst Trade
-5.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$960,352.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,357.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,357.10
Gross Return
+9.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 252 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,033.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $463.86 | 30 | $13,968.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $462.00 | 30 | $13,913.03 | $13,913.03 |
$-55.86 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $528.68 | 26 | $13,913.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $539.20 | 26 | $14,190.01 | $14,190.01 |
+$276.98 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 3:30pm ET | $557.31 | 25 | $14,190.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $564.83 | 25 | $14,381.48 | $14,381.48 |
+$191.47 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $571.50 | 25 | $14,381.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $580.12 | 25 | $14,598.40 | $14,598.40 |
+$216.92 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $559.41 | 26 | $14,598.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $587.56 | 26 | $15,333.00 | $15,333.00 |
+$734.60 (+5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $573.43 | 27 | $15,333.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $563.19 | 27 | $15,059.19 | $15,059.19 |
$-273.81 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $555.22 | 27 | $15,059.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $579.83 | 27 | $15,726.69 | $15,726.69 |
+$667.50 (+4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $605.14 | 26 | $15,726.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $606.79 | 26 | $15,769.57 | $15,769.57 |
+$42.88 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $611.41 | 26 | $15,769.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $625.87 | 26 | $16,142.52 | $16,142.52 |
+$372.95 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $614.42 | 26 | $16,142.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $581.97 | 26 | $15,290.09 | $15,290.09 |
$-852.43 (-5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $558.04 | 27 | $15,290.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $539.72 | 27 | $14,788.13 | $14,788.13 |
$-501.96 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $516.78 | 29 | $14,788.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $513.40 | 29 | $14,691.41 | $14,691.41 |
$-96.72 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $510.41 | 29 | $14,691.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $512.78 | 29 | $14,759.48 | $14,759.48 |
+$68.07 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $508.88 | 29 | $14,759.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $495.71 | 29 | $14,377.64 | $14,377.64 |
$-381.84 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $476.62 | 30 | $14,377.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $472.69 | 30 | $14,259.09 | $14,259.09 |
$-118.55 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $482.91 | 30 | $14,259.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $494.55 | 30 | $14,602.79 | $14,602.79 |
+$343.70 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $483.17 | 30 | $14,602.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $500.53 | 30 | $15,127.62 | $15,127.62 |
+$524.83 (+3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $523.57 | 29 | $15,127.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $524.87 | 29 | $15,165.18 | $15,165.18 |
+$37.56 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.89 | 33 | $15,165.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $470.22 | 33 | $15,306.29 | $15,306.29 |
+$141.11 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $466.67 | 33 | $15,306.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $446.12 | 33 | $14,632.27 | $14,632.27 |
$-674.02 (-4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $441.26 | 33 | $14,632.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $451.58 | 33 | $14,974.48 | $14,974.48 |
+$342.21 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $483.71 | 31 | $14,974.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $482.03 | 31 | $14,922.47 | $14,922.47 |
$-52.01 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $482.39 | 31 | $14,922.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $469.24 | 31 | $14,515.53 | $14,515.53 |
$-406.94 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $458.95 | 32 | $14,515.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $469.09 | 32 | $14,836.07 | $14,836.07 |
+$320.54 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $502.98 | 29 | $14,836.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $513.52 | 29 | $15,146.96 | $15,146.96 |
+$310.89 (+2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $513.13 | 30 | $15,146.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $524.50 | 30 | $15,482.59 | $15,482.59 |
+$335.63 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $533.51 | 29 | $15,482.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $526.24 | 29 | $15,271.76 | $15,271.76 |
$-210.83 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $570.24 | 27 | $15,271.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $576.40 | 27 | $15,436.73 | $15,436.73 |
+$164.97 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $563.99 | 27 | $15,436.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $564.49 | 27 | $15,450.42 | $15,450.42 |
+$13.69 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $618.52 | 25 | $15,450.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $633.95 | 25 | $15,835.86 | $15,835.86 |
+$385.44 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $621.34 | 25 | $15,835.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $608.54 | 25 | $15,509.51 | $15,509.51 |
$-326.35 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $607.78 | 26 | $15,509.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $603.12 | 26 | $15,390.59 | $15,390.59 |
$-118.92 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,390.59
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,390.59
Total Return:
+53.91%