TSLA Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 39 trades in period
+38.32%
Last Year Return
$35,062.24
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$25,347.75
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
73.5/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 68.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,204
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$25,347.75
Current Value
$35,062.24
Period P&L
$9,714.49
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
23 /
16
Best Trade
+8.81%
Worst Trade
-8.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,537,591.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$9,714.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$9,714.49
Gross Return
+38.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.32%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $25,347.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 59 | $25,347.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $443.22 | 59 | $26,322.94 | $26,322.94 |
+$975.19 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $452.08 | 58 | $26,322.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $453.36 | 58 | $26,397.48 | $26,397.48 |
+$74.54 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 3:10pm ET | $434.98 | 61 | $26,397.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $435.53 | 61 | $26,431.16 | $26,431.16 |
+$33.68 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:25am ET | $424.59 | 62 | $26,431.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $429.25 | 62 | $26,721.25 | $26,721.25 |
+$290.09 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $416.54 | 64 | $26,721.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $452.35 | 64 | $29,018.79 | $29,018.79 |
+$2,297.54 (+8.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $448.56 | 65 | $29,018.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $468.36 | 65 | $30,299.71 | $30,299.71 |
+$1,280.92 (+4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $449.44 | 67 | $30,299.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $445.26 | 67 | $30,017.91 | $30,017.91 |
$-281.80 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $418.65 | 72 | $30,017.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $408.91 | 72 | $29,319.54 | $29,319.54 |
$-698.37 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $415.73 | 71 | $29,319.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $417.52 | 71 | $29,445.78 | $29,445.78 |
+$126.24 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:25am ET | $443.49 | 66 | $29,445.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $451.44 | 66 | $29,973.48 | $29,973.48 |
+$527.70 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $450.13 | 67 | $29,973.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $489.80 | 67 | $32,615.18 | $32,615.18 |
+$2,641.70 (+8.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:25am ET | $478.37 | 68 | $32,615.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $480.91 | 68 | $32,788.40 | $32,788.40 |
+$173.22 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $474.52 | 69 | $32,788.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $454.43 | 69 | $31,400.06 | $31,400.06 |
$-1,388.34 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $441.60 | 71 | $31,400.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $432.95 | 71 | $30,785.00 | $30,785.00 |
$-615.06 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $427.71 | 72 | $30,785.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $449.37 | 72 | $32,344.39 | $32,344.39 |
+$1,559.39 (+5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $423.33 | 76 | $32,344.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $421.79 | 76 | $32,226.73 | $32,226.73 |
$-117.66 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $396.48 | 81 | $32,226.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $417.16 | 81 | $33,907.64 | $33,907.64 |
+$1,680.91 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $421.06 | 81 | $33,907.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $417.42 | 81 | $33,614.60 | $33,614.60 |
$-293.04 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $389.97 | 86 | $33,614.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $405.40 | 86 | $34,944.74 | $34,944.74 |
+$1,330.14 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $387.40 | 90 | $34,944.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $407.84 | 90 | $36,788.39 | $36,788.39 |
+$1,843.65 (+5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.69 | 96 | $36,788.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $380.85 | 96 | $36,707.43 | $36,707.43 |
$-80.96 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $363.30 | 101 | $36,707.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $371.75 | 101 | $37,561.21 | $37,561.21 |
+$853.78 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.48 | 102 | $37,561.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $346.56 | 102 | $35,423.40 | $35,423.40 |
$-2,137.81 (-5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $393.30 | 90 | $35,423.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $387.20 | 90 | $34,873.55 | $34,873.55 |
$-549.85 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $366.93 | 95 | $34,873.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $372.80 | 95 | $35,431.44 | $35,431.44 |
+$557.89 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $426.85 | 83 | $35,431.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $443.18 | 83 | $36,786.94 | $36,786.94 |
+$1,355.50 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $411.94 | 89 | $36,786.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $417.27 | 89 | $37,262.92 | $37,262.92 |
+$475.98 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $431.33 | 86 | $37,262.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $423.74 | 86 | $36,607.64 | $36,607.64 |
$-655.28 (-1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $409.65 | 89 | $36,607.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $396.57 | 89 | $35,438.66 | $35,438.66 |
$-1,168.98 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $388.15 | 91 | $35,438.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $381.57 | 91 | $34,837.90 | $34,837.90 |
$-600.76 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $414.00 | 84 | $34,837.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $402.98 | 84 | $33,910.57 | $33,910.57 |
$-927.33 (-2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $396.41 | 86 | $33,910.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $394.19 | 86 | $33,720.66 | $33,720.66 |
$-189.91 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $378.38 | 89 | $33,720.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $378.92 | 89 | $33,768.77 | $33,768.77 |
+$48.11 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.91 | 100 | $33,768.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $309.24 | 100 | $30,903.65 | $30,903.65 |
$-2,865.12 (-8.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $298.36 | 104 | $30,903.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $311.12 | 104 | $32,225.31 | $32,225.31 |
+$1,321.66 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $340.42 | 95 | $32,225.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.89 | 95 | $31,890.21 | $31,890.21 |
$-335.10 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $340.31 | 94 | $31,890.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $348.94 | 94 | $32,698.92 | $32,698.92 |
+$808.71 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.72 | 95 | $32,698.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $348.76 | 95 | $33,178.49 | $33,178.49 |
+$479.57 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $356.14 | 93 | $33,178.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $376.36 | 93 | $35,062.24 | $35,062.24 |
+$1,883.75 (+5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$35,062.24
Net Profit/Loss:
+$25,062.24
Total Return:
+250.62%