Compendium › Wrecking Ball › VTI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VTI
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 8 trades in period

+15.89%
Last Year Return
$14,203.78
Current Value
88%
Win Rate
$12,256.44
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.4/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
12.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 77.8/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 49.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,067
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,256.44
Current Value
$14,203.78
Period P&L
$1,947.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
7 / 1
Best Trade
+4.83%
Worst Trade
-0.45%
Avg Trade Return
+1.87%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$208,179.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,947.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,947.34
Gross Return
+15.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,256.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:25am ET $326.32 38 $12,256.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $328.36 38 $12,332.87 $12,332.87 +$76.43
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $325.93 38 $12,332.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $332.08 38 $12,565.58 $12,565.58 +$232.71
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $336.73 37 $12,565.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $340.56 37 $12,708.50 $12,708.50 +$142.92
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $333.85 38 $12,708.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $341.77 38 $13,009.99 $13,009.99 +$301.49
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $332.90 39 $13,009.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.39 39 $12,950.98 $12,950.98 $-59.01
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $318.33 41 $12,950.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $333.71 41 $13,576.70 $13,576.70 +$625.72
(+4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $362.73 37 $13,576.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.43 37 $13,715.19 $13,715.19 +$138.49
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $360.99 38 $13,715.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $373.85 38 $14,203.78 $14,203.78 +$488.59
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,203.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,203.78
Total Return: +42.04%
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