Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 13 trades in period

-5.25%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,863.87
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$14,632.48
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.1/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 53.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 53.4

30-Day Momentum

2
-11.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-51 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,632.48
Current Value
$13,863.87
Period P&L
$-768.61
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+8.17%
Worst Trade
-10.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$383,343.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-768.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-768.61
Gross Return
-5.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,632.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET $357.67 41 $14,632.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.44 41 $14,991.27 $14,991.27 +$358.79
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:05am ET $363.63 41 $14,991.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.24 41 $14,645.38 $14,645.38 $-345.89
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET $372.26 39 $14,645.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.08 39 $14,402.25 $14,402.25 $-243.13
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $363.22 40 $14,402.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $392.89 40 $15,578.71 $15,578.71 +$1,176.46
(+8.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:50am ET $392.48 40 $15,578.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $378.88 40 $15,039.08 $15,039.08 $-539.63
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:05am ET $409.57 37 $15,039.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.04 37 $15,313.37 $15,313.37 +$274.29
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:25am ET $412.63 37 $15,313.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $415.21 37 $15,409.12 $15,409.12 +$95.75
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $436.06 35 $15,409.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $443.78 35 $15,681.92 $15,681.92 +$272.80
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET $438.97 36 $15,681.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $429.93 36 $15,358.88 $15,358.88 $-323.04
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $438.34 35 $15,358.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $393.23 35 $13,778.28 $13,778.28 $-1,580.60
(-10.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $390.93 35 $13,778.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $381.56 35 $13,447.86 $13,447.86 $-330.42
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET $376.34 36 $13,447.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $385.57 36 $13,777.68 $13,777.68 +$329.82
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $407.64 34 $13,777.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $410.19 34 $13,863.87 $13,863.87 +$86.19
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,863.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,863.87
Total Return: +38.64%
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