Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 5 trades in period

+18.28%
Last 3 Months Return
$25,857.63
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$21,861.84
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

74
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
12.2/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 83.2/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 73.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,861.84
Current Value
$25,857.63
Period P&L
$3,995.80
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+25.10%
Worst Trade
-4.77%
Avg Trade Return
+3.78%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$235,604.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,995.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,995.80
Gross Return
+18.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $21,861.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $238.51 92 $22,015.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.13 92 $20,965.54 $20,965.54 $-1,050.45
(-4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $245.95 85 $20,965.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $244.77 85 $20,864.95 $20,864.95 $-100.59
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $227.03 92 $20,864.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $284.02 92 $26,102.55 $26,102.55 +$5,237.60
(+25.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:05am ET $260.60 100 $26,102.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $258.90 100 $25,932.27 $25,932.27 $-170.28
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $251.90 103 $25,932.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $251.18 103 $25,857.63 $25,857.63 $-74.64
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,857.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,857.63
Total Return: +158.58%
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