Compendium › Wrecking Ball › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 13 trades in period

-12.60%
Last 3 Months Return
$33,833.76
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$38,712.52
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:20:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 68.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 67.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+3.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-54 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$38,712.52
Current Value
$33,833.76
Period P&L
$-4,878.76
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+7.55%
Worst Trade
-5.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.96%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$911,630.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,878.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,878.76
Gross Return
-12.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $38,712.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $381.77 101 $38,712.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $372.44 101 $37,766.42 $37,766.42 $-946.10
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $370.91 102 $37,766.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $370.79 102 $37,754.20 $37,754.20 $-12.22
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $389.45 97 $37,754.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.03 97 $37,228.77 $37,228.77 $-525.43
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $389.14 96 $37,228.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $370.84 96 $35,478.02 $35,478.02 $-1,750.75
(-4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $393.76 90 $35,478.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.76 90 $34,307.15 $34,307.15 $-1,170.87
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $376.35 91 $34,307.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $392.37 91 $35,767.49 $35,767.49 +$1,460.34
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:30am ET $420.74 85 $35,767.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $422.25 85 $35,895.52 $35,895.52 +$128.03
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $413.45 87 $35,895.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $393.05 87 $34,124.40 $34,124.40 $-1,771.12
(-4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $383.95 89 $34,124.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.45 89 $32,747.23 $32,747.23 $-1,377.17
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET $357.59 92 $32,747.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.68 92 $33,762.83 $33,762.83 +$1,015.60
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $363.37 93 $33,762.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $357.87 93 $33,251.79 $33,251.79 $-511.04
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $364.48 91 $33,251.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.82 91 $31,458.19 $31,458.19 $-1,793.60
(-5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $337.08 93 $31,458.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $362.54 93 $33,833.76 $33,833.76 +$2,375.57
(+7.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $33,833.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$23,833.76
Total Return: +238.34%
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