Compendium › Wrecking Ball › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 28 trades in period

-6.35%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,440.86
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$11,148.63
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.0/35
Total Return
6.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 17.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 16.9

30-Day Momentum

7
-14.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,148.63
Current Value
$10,440.86
Period P&L
$-707.77
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
12 / 16
Best Trade
+8.71%
Worst Trade
-6.89%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$603,359.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-707.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-707.77
Gross Return
-6.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $11,148.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $149.50 74 $11,130.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $142.58 74 $10,615.54 $10,615.54 $-515.22
(-4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $147.28 72 $10,615.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.65 72 $10,930.52 $10,930.52 +$314.98
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $161.64 68 $10,930.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.49 68 $11,190.53 $11,190.53 +$260.01
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $168.68 66 $11,190.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $163.52 66 $10,848.21 $10,848.21 $-342.32
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $156.70 69 $10,848.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $159.06 69 $11,011.59 $11,011.59 +$163.38
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 1:45pm ET $154.57 71 $11,011.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $161.54 71 $11,508.51 $11,508.51 +$496.92
(+4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $165.79 69 $11,508.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.53 69 $11,143.38 $11,143.38 $-365.13
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $158.02 71 $11,143.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.56 71 $11,322.50 $11,322.50 +$179.12
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $176.21 64 $11,322.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $166.13 64 $10,674.80 $10,674.80 $-647.70
(-5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $162.28 66 $10,674.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $158.32 66 $10,414.31 $10,414.31 $-260.49
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $161.61 64 $10,414.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.07 64 $10,315.07 $10,315.07 $-99.24
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $147.50 70 $10,315.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $146.47 70 $10,243.05 $10,243.05 $-72.02
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $148.45 69 $10,243.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $145.35 69 $10,029.39 $10,029.39 $-213.66
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $151.32 66 $10,029.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $148.72 66 $9,857.39 $9,857.39 $-172.00
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:35am ET $148.18 67 $9,857.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $153.90 67 $10,237.90 $10,237.90 +$380.51
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $149.24 69 $10,237.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $150.57 69 $10,328.79 $10,328.79 +$90.89
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $147.45 70 $10,328.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.30 70 $11,228.93 $11,228.93 +$900.14
(+8.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $172.65 65 $11,228.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $186.57 65 $12,134.59 $12,134.59 +$905.66
(+8.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $182.51 66 $12,134.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.19 66 $12,445.75 $12,445.75 +$311.16
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $190.10 65 $12,445.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $178.66 65 $11,696.78 $11,696.78 $-748.97
(-6.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 65 $11,696.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $175.00 65 $11,309.04 $11,309.04 $-387.74
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $191.27 59 $11,309.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.64 59 $10,917.03 $10,917.03 $-392.01
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $179.28 61 $10,917.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.71 61 $10,638.75 $10,638.75 $-278.28
(-2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $177.69 60 $10,638.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.41 60 $11,459.94 $11,459.94 +$821.19
(+7.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $176.67 65 $11,459.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.50 65 $10,670.52 $10,670.52 $-789.42
(-6.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:35am ET $203.49 52 $10,670.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $201.49 52 $10,565.38 $10,565.38 $-105.14
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET $204.75 36 $7,287.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $201.06 36 $7,155.84 $10,434.05 $-131.33
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $199.12 52 $10,434.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $199.25 52 $10,440.86 $10,440.86 +$6.81
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,440.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$440.86
Total Return: +4.41%
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