Compendium › Wrecking Ball › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 21 trades in period

-75.15%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,752.01
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$23,143.75
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:18:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.4

30-Day Momentum

72
+23.5%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
4.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 88.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+60 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$23,143.75
Current Value
$5,752.01
Period P&L
$-17,391.74
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
8 / 13
Best Trade
+8.33%
Worst Trade
-74.25%
Avg Trade Return
-3.75%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$242,102.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-17,391.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-17,391.74
Gross Return
-75.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-75.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $23,143.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:25am ET $679.93 34 $23,143.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $175.11 34 $5,960.55 $5,960.55 $-17,183.20
(-74.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET $193.19 31 $5,960.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $193.67 31 $5,975.32 $5,975.32 +$14.77
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $198.46 30 $5,975.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.40 30 $5,853.23 $5,853.23 $-122.09
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:10am ET $194.00 30 $5,853.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.87 30 $5,668.28 $5,668.28 $-184.95
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:30am ET $209.37 27 $5,668.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $203.77 27 $5,516.67 $5,516.67 $-151.61
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $204.66 27 $5,516.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $198.42 27 $5,348.34 $5,348.34 $-168.33
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $186.83 29 $5,348.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.43 29 $5,251.01 $5,251.01 $-97.33
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $182.15 29 $5,251.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.87 29 $5,242.79 $5,242.79 $-8.22
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:45pm ET $179.42 29 $5,242.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.22 29 $5,412.27 $5,412.27 +$169.48
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $213.18 25 $5,412.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $207.45 25 $5,266.92 $5,266.92 $-145.35
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $220.87 24 $5,266.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.81 24 $5,289.34 $5,289.34 +$22.42
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $221.49 24 $5,289.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.91 24 $5,108.23 $5,108.23 $-181.11
(-3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $208.65 24 $5,108.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $190.30 24 $4,659.09 $4,659.09 $-449.14
(-8.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:05am ET $189.54 25 $4,659.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.33 25 $4,555.60 $4,555.60 $-103.49
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $218.86 21 $4,555.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.04 21 $4,809.13 $4,809.13 +$253.53
(+5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $206.88 23 $4,809.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $214.97 23 $4,997.27 $4,997.27 +$188.14
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $209.11 24 $4,997.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $207.79 24 $4,965.72 $4,965.72 $-31.55
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $210.60 24 $4,965.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.67 24 $4,873.11 $4,873.11 $-92.61
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $233.04 21 $4,873.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $241.41 21 $5,048.14 $5,048.14 +$175.03
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $242.66 21 $5,048.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $249.27 21 $5,185.65 $5,185.65 +$137.51
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $230.85 29 $6,802.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.07 29 $7,368.90 $5,752.01 +$566.36
(+8.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,752.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,247.99
Total Return: -42.48%
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