Compendium › Wrecking Ball › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 6 trades in period

-0.13%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,760.67
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,777.09
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-25 16:18:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.3/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
10.4/15
Profit Factor
7.7/15
Consistency
8.3/10
Raw Quality 57.8/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 52.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,777.09
Current Value
$12,760.67
Period P&L
$-16.42
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+1.34%
Worst Trade
-0.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$152,947.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-16.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-16.42
Gross Return
-0.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,777.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $458.56 27 $12,564.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $464.39 27 $12,723.94 $12,723.94 +$159.74
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $454.65 28 $12,723.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $452.33 28 $12,659.15 $12,659.15 $-64.79
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $460.20 28 $12,659.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $466.37 28 $12,828.87 $12,828.87 +$169.72
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $495.58 26 $12,828.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $496.85 26 $12,861.75 $12,861.75 +$32.88
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $505.89 25 $12,861.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $501.01 25 $12,737.56 $12,737.56 $-124.19
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $515.38 25 $12,737.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $516.31 25 $12,760.67 $12,760.67 +$23.11
(+0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,760.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,760.67
Total Return: +27.61%
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