Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:46:56

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.6/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
12.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 82.5/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 72.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$23,135.42
Current Value
$27,305.14
Period P&L
$4,169.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+13.42%
Worst Trade
-3.99%
Avg Trade Return
+2.10%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$388,033.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,169.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,169.72
Gross Return
+18.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $23,135.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $354.32 66 $23,368.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.56 66 $22,659.23 $22,659.23 $-709.67
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET $351.76 64 $22,659.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.55 64 $23,161.36 $23,161.36 +$502.13
(+2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $361.54 64 $23,161.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $347.11 64 $22,236.93 $22,236.93 $-924.43
(-4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 69 $22,236.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $333.73 69 $23,097.92 $23,097.92 +$860.99
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $333.10 69 $23,097.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $377.79 69 $26,196.80 $26,196.80 +$3,098.88
(+13.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $366.01 72 $26,196.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $357.55 72 $25,591.63 $25,591.63 $-605.17
(-2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:40am ET $340.56 75 $25,591.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.48 75 $25,735.91 $25,735.91 +$144.28
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $329.40 78 $25,735.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.48 78 $27,305.14 $27,305.14 +$1,569.23
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,305.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,305.14
Total Return: +173.05%
Back to Wrecking Ball