Compendium › Wrecking Ball › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 14 trades in period

-10.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,774.68
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$15,402.08
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.1/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 54.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-52 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,402.08
Current Value
$13,774.68
Period P&L
$-1,627.40
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+5.22%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
-0.76%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$411,079.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,627.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,627.40
Gross Return
-10.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,402.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET $348.98 44 $15,402.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.19 44 $14,837.39 $14,837.39 $-564.69
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:30am ET $340.21 44 $14,837.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $347.85 44 $15,170.59 $15,170.59 +$333.20
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET $347.33 44 $15,170.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.49 44 $14,478.73 $14,478.73 $-691.86
(-4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $327.39 44 $14,478.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.49 44 $15,234.97 $15,234.97 +$756.24
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $337.74 45 $15,234.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $340.08 45 $15,340.52 $15,340.52 +$105.55
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $350.31 44 $15,340.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $354.55 44 $15,526.19 $15,526.19 +$185.67
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:40am ET $349.80 44 $15,526.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.33 44 $15,017.08 $15,017.08 $-509.11
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET $332.96 45 $15,017.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $335.70 45 $15,140.66 $15,140.66 +$123.58
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:00am ET $337.35 45 $15,140.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $328.59 45 $14,747.50 $14,747.50 $-393.16
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $326.39 45 $14,747.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $318.01 45 $14,368.86 $14,368.86 $-378.64
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET $317.74 45 $14,368.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $308.75 45 $13,962.09 $13,962.09 $-406.77
(-2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $308.07 45 $13,962.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $299.95 45 $13,594.08 $13,594.08 $-368.01
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $296.73 46 $13,594.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $306.02 46 $14,019.45 $14,019.45 +$425.37
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $296.91 46 $13,532.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $291.54 46 $13,287.95 $13,774.68 $-244.77
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,774.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,774.68
Total Return: +37.75%
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