Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 00:16:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

61
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 70.5/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 61.2

30-Day Momentum

13
+1.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,423.21
Current Value
$17,519.98
Period P&L
$3,096.78
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+17.08%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
+1.57%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$414,660.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,096.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,096.78
Gross Return
+21.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,423.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $243.98 60 $14,588.54
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.06 60 $14,474.03 $14,474.03 $-114.51
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 61 $14,474.03
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $241.95 61 $14,726.63 $14,726.63 +$252.60
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $236.43 62 $14,726.63
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.77 62 $14,810.41 $14,810.41 +$83.78
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 64 $14,810.41
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $228.57 64 $14,665.72 $14,665.72 $-144.69
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $225.15 65 $14,665.72
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.73 65 $14,312.36 $14,312.36 $-353.36
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $213.73 67 $14,312.36
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.86 67 $14,722.85 $14,722.85 +$410.49
(+2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $216.93 68 $14,722.85
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.98 68 $17,237.40 $17,237.40 +$2,514.55
(+17.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $247.18 70 $17,237.40
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.36 70 $18,435.29 $18,435.29 +$1,197.89
(+6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $317.13 58 $18,435.29
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.80 58 $17,776.94 $17,776.94 $-658.35
(-3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $294.71 60 $17,776.94
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $277.48 60 $16,737.32 $16,737.32 $-1,039.62
(-5.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $272.48 61 $16,737.32
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.23 61 $16,783.39 $16,783.39 +$46.07
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $265.52 63 $16,783.39
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.52 63 $16,593.76 $16,593.76 $-189.63
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $250.46 66 $16,593.76
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.44 66 $17,519.98 $17,519.98 +$926.22
(+5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,519.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,519.98
Total Return: +75.20%
Back to Wrecking Ball