Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score PRO Scored Sep 24, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 73.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 71.9

30-Day Momentum

50
+11.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.8 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,367.82
Current Value
$20,714.70
Period P&L
$2,346.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+8.36%
Worst Trade
-11.14%
Avg Trade Return
+1.05%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$485,590.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,346.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,346.88
Gross Return
+12.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $18,367.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:35am ET $404.02 46 $18,440.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.89 46 $18,525.51 $18,525.51 +$85.47
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $399.61 46 $18,525.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $433.02 46 $20,074.36 $20,074.36 +$1,548.85
(+8.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET $430.73 47 $20,074.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $406.78 47 $18,958.16 $18,958.16 $-1,116.20
(-5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $388.79 49 $18,958.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.47 49 $16,845.79 $16,845.79 $-2,112.37
(-11.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.47 49 $16,845.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $340.72 49 $16,614.17 $16,614.17 $-231.62
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $336.35 49 $16,614.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $361.95 49 $17,878.69 $17,878.69 +$1,264.52
(+7.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $355.70 50 $17,878.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.42 50 $18,869.88 $18,869.88 +$991.19
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:05am ET $367.13 51 $18,869.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $378.71 51 $19,465.34 $19,465.34 +$595.46
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET $391.50 50 $19,465.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $374.40 50 $18,615.13 $18,615.13 $-850.21
(-4.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET $367.96 51 $18,615.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $372.50 51 $18,844.81 $18,844.81 +$229.68
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $366.72 51 $18,844.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.78 51 $19,002.06 $19,002.06 +$157.25
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 53 $19,002.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.68 53 $19,523.85 $19,523.85 +$521.79
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $370.61 53 $19,523.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $393.21 53 $20,714.70 $20,714.70 +$1,190.85
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,714.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,714.70
Total Return: +107.15%
Back to Wrecking Ball