Compendium › Wrecking Ball › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 14 trades in period

+10.15%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,869.00
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$14,406.29
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

70
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
5.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 70.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 70.3

30-Day Momentum

37
+4.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.9 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,406.29
Current Value
$15,869.00
Period P&L
$1,462.71
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+7.73%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$428,972.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,462.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,462.71
Gross Return
+10.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,406.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:00am ET $239.88 60 $14,406.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $258.43 60 $15,520.01 $15,520.01 +$1,113.72
(+7.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:10am ET $254.84 61 $15,520.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $259.33 61 $15,793.45 $15,793.45 +$273.44
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $265.12 60 $15,793.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $257.01 60 $15,310.33 $15,310.33 $-483.12
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $254.28 60 $15,310.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.10 60 $15,239.28 $15,239.28 $-71.05
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET $250.54 61 $15,239.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $259.27 61 $15,770.29 $15,770.29 +$531.01
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $270.38 58 $15,770.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $256.41 58 $14,955.47 $14,955.47 $-814.82
(-5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $254.71 59 $14,955.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $257.02 59 $15,090.81 $15,090.81 +$135.34
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:35am ET $259.71 58 $15,090.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $260.36 58 $15,128.58 $15,128.58 +$37.77
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $271.81 56 $15,128.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.16 56 $15,203.72 $15,203.72 +$75.14
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET $270.39 56 $15,203.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $265.89 56 $14,950.69 $14,950.69 $-253.03
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET $267.22 56 $14,950.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $275.15 56 $15,394.13 $15,394.13 +$443.44
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $267.35 58 $15,394.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $265.58 58 $15,292.21 $15,292.21 $-101.92
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $262.97 58 $15,292.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $269.98 58 $15,699.86 $15,699.86 +$407.65
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $266.40 59 $15,699.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $269.27 59 $15,869.00 $15,869.00 +$169.14
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,869.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,869.00
Total Return: +58.69%
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