Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 8 trades in period

+2.08%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,025.61
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$11,780.84
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.2/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 39.8/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 34.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.6%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,780.84
Current Value
$12,025.61
Period P&L
$244.78
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$194,746.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$244.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$244.78
Gross Return
+2.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $11,780.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $273.85 44 $12,076.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.68 44 $11,672.63 $11,672.63 $-404.18
(-3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:30am ET $266.38 44 $11,672.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $280.32 44 $12,283.25 $12,283.25 +$610.62
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:05am ET $274.69 45 $12,283.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $276.48 45 $12,363.29 $12,363.29 +$80.04
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $272.56 45 $12,363.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $270.67 45 $12,277.56 $12,277.56 $-85.73
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $267.75 46 $12,277.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $269.16 46 $12,342.22 $12,342.22 +$64.66
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:10am ET $262.79 47 $12,342.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $261.24 47 $12,269.42 $12,269.42 $-72.80
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $256.79 48 $12,269.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.53 48 $12,113.66 $12,113.66 $-155.76
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:50am ET $249.70 49 $12,113.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.88 49 $12,025.61 $12,025.61 $-88.05
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,025.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,025.61
Total Return: +20.26%
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